Category: Commentary
Q1 2024 Commentary
Stocks marched higher in Q1 2024 with participation broadening from the mega cap winners of 2023 tomid-cap and smaller capitalization companies. U.S. economic growth, a steady consumer, and high expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve promoted continued risk taking by investors. Gains in equity markets were largely multiple driven as earnings gains were modest and the stocks of lower quality small cap companies outpaced the returns of higher quality companies during the quarter. Using the Russell Stability indexes as proxies for high and low quality, the Russell 2000 Defensive index, containing businesses with higher Returns on Assets, lower leverage, and lower volatility underperformed low-quality businesses, as measured by the Russell 2000 Dynamic indexes, by 375 basis points for the quarter. More information including since-inception performance for each QSV strategy may be found at www.qsvequity.com.
QSV Strategy Quarterly Performance
QSV Small Cap returned .78% and .72%, gross and net of fees, respectively, lagging the Russell 2000 Value Index return of 2.90% and the Russell 2000 Index return of 5.18%. Security selection in Communication Services, Financials, and Information Technology companies aided performance relative to the index. Security selection detracted from performance in Industrials as did an underweight and company selection in Energy holdings.\ Energy delivered the strongest absolute returns in the Index during the quarter due to elevated geopolitical risks and higher demand. QSV remains significantly underweight relative to the sector due to challenges in finding quality businesses at reasonable valuations.
QSV Small Cap Top Contributors
PubMatic Inc. (PUBM), a leading platform provider of digital advertising technology, was the leading contributor to performance in Q1 2024 as it continued to expand its customer base and the volume of ad impressions processed. A rebound in digital ad pricing also lifted revenue growth to levels beyond management’s prior forecast. Competitive advantages include switching costs – the time, effort, and money required to transfer platforms once an advertiser is set up on PUBM’s platform – and cost advantages through its investment in infrastructure and off-shore research and development. PUBM produces returns on invested capital of 12% on average.
Contract research organization Medpace Holdings Inc. (MEDP) contributed to performance as strong quarterly earnings exceeded expectations. MEDP is a leading provider of full-service drug development and clinical trial services to small and midsized biotechnology, pharmaceutical, and medical device firms. The company benefits from high switching costs as its tools and testing are highly scripted in regulation and practice. MEDP produces returns on invested capital of 25% on average.
QSV Small Cap Top Detractors
Forward Air (FWRD) fell 50% during the quarter due to pessimism over its acquisition of Omni Logistics. While FWRD stands as a leader in the less-than-truckload shipping business, concerns over its debt levels and integration risks persist. QSV is closely monitoring this integration and FWRD’s business performance. Despite its near-term headwinds, FWRD benefits from its substantial network of 92 terminals located at or near airports throughout North America. This network provides economies of scale and creates high barriers to entry, making replication of its capabilities a challenge.
Malibu Boats(MBUU) shares fell due to reduced forward guidance and concerns that higher interest rates will dampen sales of the company’s brands. Combined, its Malibu and Axis brands are the largest player in the ski/wakeboard market, one of the fastest-growing segments of the powerboat market. Malibu has been acquiring strong brands in a very fragmented industry and selling through its extensive dealer network of over 350 independent dealers, including 250 in North America. MBUU shares are currently at a significant discount to our estimate of intrinsic value, and QSV added to its position during the quarter.
QSV Small Cap Portfolio Activity
Shares of AMN Healthcare (AMN) and MGP Ingredients (MGPI) were sold for valuation reasons. Proceeds were invested in health management company Astrana Health (ASTH) and Vestis Corporation (VSTS), a provider of uniforms and other workplace supplies.
QSV Mid Cap returned 4.66% and 4.42%, gross and net of fees for the quarter, trailing the 8.23% return of the Russell Mid Cap Value Index and the Russell Mid Cap Index return of 8.60%. Security selection in Healthcare and Communication Services companies helped relative performance, as did our underweight to Communication Services names. Selection in the Financials, Industrials and Energy sectors detracted.
QSV Mid Cap Top Contributors
Contract research organization ICON PLC (ICLR) was the leading contributor to performance as it bounced back following concerns over its acquisition of competitor PRA Health. The cultures of ICLR and PRA Health are similar, and the combined organization will bring synergies and the benefit of reduced client concentrations. ICLR produces returns on invested capital of 10% on average, and its shares sell at a discount to our measure of intrinsic value. Lincoln Electric Holdings (LECO) also contributed to performance during the quarter with revenue and margin results that exceeded expectations. Founded in 1895, LECO is a trusted name in welding, cutting, and brazing products, with a leading global market share. While still in the commercialization phase, LECO is developing an EV charger business that represents a growth opportunity the business. The company has raised its dividend for twenty-two years and produces returns on invested capital of 20% on average.
QSV Mid Cap Top Detractors
MarketAxess Holdings (MKTX) was the leading detractor to performance during the quarter despite earnings results that exceeded analysts’ expectations and strong forward guidance. MKTX is the leading platform for trading fixed income securities, where it continues to grow market share due to the growing adoption of electronic execution. Greater adoption by retail and institutional investors and by the company’s network of dealers improves liquidity and the effectiveness of the platform for its clients. MKTX produces returns on invested capital of 27% on average and its shares are at a discount to QSV’s measure of intrinsic value.
Akamai Technologies (AKAM) detracted from performance during the quarter. AKAM operates through its Security, Compute, and Content Delivery Network (CDN) segments. AKAM is known for its CDNs that the company estimates deliver between 15% and 30% of global web traffic supported by over 350,000 servers arrayed in over 4,100 networks across the globe. Its growing network and application security business is a major focus for AKAM. With revenue growth in the mid-teens, this segment is expected to produce one-half of AKAM’s revenues in 2024.
QSV Mid Cap Portfolio Activity
There were no total sales or purchases of positions during the quarter. QSV did add to its position in the payroll and human capital management platform Paycom (PAYC) on weakness in its share price.
QSV Select returned 3.61% and 3.39%, gross and net of fees, lagging returns of the Russell 2500 Value and Russell 2500 Indexes of 6.07% and 6.92%, respectively. Select is a high conviction strategy that holds QSV’s best ideas from our Small Cap and Mid Cap strategies. Security selection was positive in Healthcare and Real Estate holdings. Selection detracted from returns in Industrials holdings while company selection and an underweight to Energy companies hurt performance.
QSV Select Top Contributors
Primerica Inc. (PRI) was the leading contributor to performance during the quarter. PRI provides financial services to middle-income households in the United States and Canada, offering life insurance, mutual funds, annuities, and other financial products. While earnings from life insurance were down for the quarter, asset-based revenues from annuities and mutual funds rose with the markets and PRI successfully grew its sales force. PRI’s shares continue to sell at a discount to our measure of intrinsic value.
Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH) rose on continued strong business performance and its reputation, as one analyst coined, as “AI at a Reasonable Price.” BAH has scale advantages as a provider of cybersecurity, data analytics, augmented reality, and artificial intelligence projects for the Department of Defense that, like all U.S. government contracts, are subject to elevated levels of scrutiny that serve as barriers to entry for competitors. The company has earned a position as the leader in artificial intelligence solutions and support for modernizing the U.S. military.
QSV Select Top Detractors
MarketAxess Holdings(MKTX) was the leading detractor to performance of QSV Select during the quarter and is discussed above.
Storage REIT National Storage Affiliates (NSA) detracted from performance during the quarter. Funds from operations in the trailing quarter were below analysts’ estimates and NSA’s guidance for 2024 revenues and net operating income were down on lower occupancy. In the long term, we remain positive on NSA as a REIT that has seen strong occupancy rates, the ability to pass along single to low double-digit rate increases, and the financial flexibility to pay down debt with an eye toward future acquisitions.
QSV Select Portfolio Activity
QSV continued to prune and add to Select to upgrade quality and address valuations. Freight broker Landstar System (LSTR), pool supply provider Pool Corporation (POOL), and Toro (TORO), an operator of oil tankers, were sold for holdings in which we have more conviction. New positions were initiated in Doximity (DOX), a digital platform for U.S. medical professionals, dating platform Match (MTCH), elevator and escalator provider OTIS Worldwide (OTIS), and Progress Software (PRGS), a provider of cloud-based security solutions.
Our Focus on the Long Term
We believe a good deal of 2024’s potential returns were pulled forward in Q4 2023. We also feel that market prices reflect near perfection in the economic and geopolitical outcomes of the coming quarters. Unfortunately, the world is imperfect and uncertain. At QSV, we do not invest in markets, but focus on building portfolios of quality businesses with durable competitive advantages purchased at reasonable valuations. We anticipate that 2024 will bring both surprises and the consequential market volatility. To prepare for this we recommend that long term investors focus on businesses with solid balance sheets, strong free cash flows, and high returns on invested capital. We continue to find these traits in the small and mid-capitalization businesses in each of the QSV portfolios and invite you to join us as we invest alongside our clients.
Disclaimer:
Returns are for the respective composites of QSV Equity Investors. Gross returns are calculated net of trading fees. Net returns are calculated net of trading fees and net of the firm’s management fee. All dividends are assumed to be reinvested. The returns of the QSV Small Cap strategy are compared to the historical performance of the Russell 2000 Indices as they are a widely used benchmarks for small capitalization securities. The returns of the QSV Mid Cap strategy are compared to the historical performance of the Russell Midcap Indices as they are a widely used benchmarks for mid capitalization securities. The returns of the QSV Select strategy are compared to the historical performance of the Russell 2500 Indices as they are a widely used benchmarks for SMID capitalization securities. An investment with QSV Equity Investors should not be construed as an investment in a program that seeks to replicate, or correlate with, these indices. Market conditions vary between the QSV products and these indices. Furthermore, these indices do not include any transaction costs, management fees and other expenses, as do the QSV products. Lastly, QSV may invest in securities and positions that are not included in these indices.
No client or potential client should assume that any information presented should be construed as personalized investment advice. Personalized investment advice can only be rendered after engagement of the firm for services, execution of the required documentation, and receipt of required disclosures. Investing carries risk of loss.
QSV Equity Investors, LLC claims compliance with the Global Investment Performance Standards (GIPS®). GIPS® is a registered trademark of the CFA Institute. CFA Institute does not endorse or promote this organization, nor does it warrant the accuracy or quality of the content contained herein. To view a GIPS report, please visit www.qsvequity.com.
QSV Equity Investors, LLC is a registered investment advisor. For additional information about the firm and its professionals please visit the SEC’s website at www.adviserinfo.sec.gov.
Q4 2023 Commentary
Q4 2023 Commentary
Q4 2023 reminded investors that the only thing constant is change. While the prior quarter saw markets fall due to the Federal Reserve’s commitment to keep rates higher for longer in its fight against inflation, the fourth quarter brought an “everything rally” with stocks, bonds, and crypto all rising in anticipation of interest rate cuts and a belief that a soft landing for the economy is likely. Small and mid‐cap stocks participated in the rally, notching most of their calendar year gains in the final three months of 2023. Each of the QSV strategies, focused on quality businesses that possess competitive moats, delivered strong outperformance for the calendar year relative to its respective value index. More information including since‐inception performance for each strategy may be found at www.qsvequity.com.
QSV Strategy Quarterly Performance
QSV Small Cap returned 15.03% and 14.93%, gross and net of fees, respectively, slightly lagging the Russell 2000 Value Index return of 15.26% while leading the Russell 2000 Index return of 14.03%. The most significant positive impact was made in Energy companies, where an underweight to the index aided performance, and Communication Services companies, where QSV’s overweight detracted but security selection added value. An underweight and company selection in Consumer Discretionary companies detracted from relative returns. QSV’s overweight to Healthcare helped returns, but security selection detracted.
QSV Small Cap Top Contributors
After a significant drop in Q3 on news of its restatement of three quarters’ financial results, Napco Security Technologies (NSSC) was the leading contributor to performance during the quarter as its shares rose 54%. NSSC is a global provider and manufacturer of high‐tech security, and internet connected home, video, fire alarm, access control, and door locking systems. QSV was concerned about management’s controls that led to the need for the restatement and closely monitors the business. NSSC delivers returns on invested capital of 14% and sells at a discount to our measure of intrinsic value.
PubMatic (PUBM) was a leading contributor to performance as revenues, earnings and forward guidance all exceeded expectations. PUBM is a leading platform provider of the digital advertising technology, helping publishers that supply digital ad inventory to better manage their inventory, selling a high percentage of their inventory and maximizing revenue per ad sold. Competitive advantages include switching costs ‐ the time, effort, and money required to transfer platforms once an advertiser is set up on PUBM’s platform – and cost advantages through its investment in infrastructure and off‐shore research and development. PUBM produces returns on invested capital of 18%.
QSV Small Cap Top Detractors
Core Laboratories (CLB) fell 26% during the quarter, detracting from performance. The company has competitive advantages in reservoir analysis and production enhancement services, serving hydrocarbon exploration and production companies as they seek to improve production levels and economics. The company also anticipates significant future growth from the application of its technologies to carbon capture and sequestration projects. A risk inherent to the business is the cyclicality of oil prices, as was seen in Q4 2023.
Ituran Location and Control Ltd. (ITRN) shares fell in response to the war in Israel where the company has operations and a sizable portion of its client base. ITRN provides stolen vehicle recovery, fleet management, and other value‐added services. Its subscription‐based model adds 80,000 to 100,000 net new customers per year, derived from after‐market sales, OEMs, and insurance companies, and currently reports over 1.8 million subscribers across Israel and Latin America. ITRN management affirmed that the company has not seen any impact to its ongoing operations in Israel. Company headquarters are in the center of the country, just outside of Tel Aviv, and not near any borders. ITRN produces returns on capital of 19% and its shares are currently at a significant discount to intrinsic value.
QSV Small Cap Portfolio Activity
Trims and additions were made in five holdings during the quarter, but there were no new positions added. Shares of foodservice packaging company Karat Packaging (KRT) were sold for valuation reasons. QSV had sold portions of the KRT position two other times in 2023, taking gains in this long‐term holding.
QSV Mid Cap returned 12.32% and 12.05%, gross and net of fees for the quarter, leading the Russell Mid Cap Value Index return of 12.11% before fees while narrowly lagging the Index after fees. Mid Cap lagged the Russell Mid Cap Index return of 12.82%. Security selection in Information Technology and Financial companies helped relative performance, while selection in the Energy and Industrials sectors detracted. Underweights in Energy and Materials businesses helped relative performance, while over weights to Healthcare and Technology companies detracted from performance.
QSV Mid Cap Top Contributors
Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) was the leading contributor to performance in the quarter as the company delivered strong earnings growth. MPWR is a global provider of high‐performance, semiconductor‐based power solutions. As a “fabless” company – one that does not manufacture the chips used in its products – MPWR has benefitted from devoting more resources to chip design rather than capital expenditures, resulting in greater free cash flows, higher margins, and Returns on Invested Capital of 24%.
Shares of Bank OZK (OZK) gained more than 35% during the quarter, supported by strong business performance including loan growth in its Real Estate Specialties Group that was greater than expected. OZK management noted that they will focus less on share buybacks in 2024 versus 2023 due to their expectations for further loan growth. OZK has a long history of exemplary credit, best‐in‐class profitability, and strong management. The bank produces Returns on Tangible Equity of 18% and its shares are trading at 1.1 times tangible book value.
QSV Mid Cap Top Detractors
Core Laboratories (CLB) was the leading detractor to QSV Mid Cap performance and is discussed above. Oil and natural gas producer APA Corporation (APA) detracted from performance during the quarter. While both revenues and earnings beat analysts’ expectations for the quarter, APA shares declined along with commodity prices. APA produces strong free cash flows and is committed to returning 60% to shareholders in the form of buybacks and share repurchases. Following the end of the quarter, APA announced its acquisition of Callon Petroleum (CPE) in an all stock deal, furthering the trend of M&A to build scale in the exploration and production industry. The combined company should see meaningful synergies through reduced overhead, interest expenses and operating synergies.
QSV Mid Cap Portfolio Activity
There were no total sales or purchases of positions during the quarter. QSV did add to its position in the payroll and human capital management platform Paycom (PAYC) on weakness in its share price.
QSV Select returned 13.98% and 13.74%, gross and net of fees, leading the 13.76% returns of the Russell 2500 Value before fees, while slightly lagging the Index after fees. QSV Select outperformed the 13.35% return of the Russell 2500 Index. Select is a high conviction strategy that takes QSV’s best ideas from our Small Cap and Mid Cap strategies. Security selection helped performance in Financial, Information Technology and Real Estate holdings, while detracting from performance in Industrials, Energy and Consumer Discretionary businesses. An underweight in Energy holdings aided performance.
QSV Select Top Contributors
Napco Security Technologies (NSSC) was the leading contributor to performance during the quarter and is discussed above.
Glacier Bancorp (GBCI) rose as quarterly results were better than anticipated. GBCI benefits from an operating footprint in seven economically vibrant U.S. states which supports robust organic growth. Additionally, the company has used cash flows to take a partnership approach to acquisitions which have led to the bank producing Returns on Tangible Common Equity of 14%.
QSV Select Top Detractors
Core Laboratories (CLB) was the leading detractor to performance of QSV Select during the quarter and is discussed above.
Human capital management provider Paycom (PAYC) detracted from performance during the quarter. PAYC’s revenues were down due to its conversion of clients to a new, innovative solution that lessens errors and reduces the need for additional payroll runs as a result. PAYC targets customers with 50 – 10,000 employees and is expanding its business with larger enterprise deals and a push into both Mexico and Canada. The company has approximately 5% penetration of its total addressable market which we believe it can expand through its best‐in‐class salesforce. PAYC has returns on invested capital of 24%.
QSV Select Portfolio Activity
Turnover during the quarter was minimal, but QSV made one addition to upgrade its portfolio. Using the proceeds from Masimo (MASI), which was exited at the end of Q3, Amdocs (DOX) was purchased. DOX is a forty‐year‐old provider of software and services solutions for communications, entertainment, and media industries.
Our Focus on the Long Term
2023 stands as a stark reminder that predictions of market returns are folly. Few would have anticipated that markets would rise so significantly or that world events would take the turns – often tragic – that they did. While we cannot (and do not) predict, we can prepare. The strong results of 2023 have pulled forward market returns in expectation that interest rates will be cut, that inflation will continue to fall, and that corporate earnings will grow. One or more of these may not come about. The leveraged consumers that have bullishly supported the economy, and the labor market that has supported them, may cool. Geopolitical events may present challenges.
Preparing for uncertainty leads QSV to its focus on long term investment in quality businesses, those with limited debt, high interest rate coverage and strong free cash flows. We continue to find compelling opportunities in small and mid‐cap stocks of these quality firms, at reasonable valuations, and believe they will serve our clients well as we invest alongside them.
Disclaimer:
Returns are for the respective composites of QSV Equity Investors. Gross returns are calculated net of trading fees. Net returns are calculated net of trading fees and net of the firm’s management fee. All dividends are assumed to be reinvested. The returns of the QSV Small Cap strategy are compared to the historical performance of the Russell 2000 Indices as they are a widely used benchmarks for small capitalization securities. The returns of the QSV Mid Cap strategy are compared to the historical performance of the Russell Midcap Indices as they are a widely used benchmarks for mid capitalization securities. The returns of the QSV Select strategy are compared to the historical performance of the Russell 2500 Indices as they are a widely used benchmarks for SMID capitalization securities. An investment with QSV Equity Investors should not be construed as an investment in a program that seeks to replicate, or correlate with, these indices. Market conditions vary between the QSV products and these indices. Furthermore, these indices do not include any transaction costs, management fees and other expenses, as do the QSV products. Lastly, QSV may invest in securities and positions that are not included in these indices.
No client or potential client should assume that any information presented should be construed as personalized investment advice. Personalized investment advice can only be rendered after engagement of the firm for services, execution of the required documentation, and receipt of required disclosures. Investing carries risk of loss.
QSV Equity Investors, LLC claims compliance with the Global Investment Performance Standards (GIPS®). GIPS® is a registered trademark of the CFA Institute. CFA Institute does not endorse or promote this organization, nor does it warrant the accuracy or quality of the content contained herein. To view a GIPS report, please visit www.qsvequity.com.
QSV Equity Investors, LLC is a registered investment advisor. For additional information about the firm and its professionals please visit the SEC’s website at www.adviserinfo.sec.gov.
Q3 2023 Commentary
QSV Equity Investors
Q3 2023 Commentary
Q3 2023 was difficult for U.S. equities as the reality that “higher for longer” truly will mean higher interest rates for longer gelled in the minds of investors. The Federal Reserve is intent on fighting inflation and seems committed to keeping rates high and conditions tight for the foreseeable future, causing concerns over the impact on the economy. Economic growth and interest rates impact smaller companies more than large, and small caps experienced a double digit drop from their July peak through the quarter-end. Three months is a brief period for investors focused on the long term, yet Q3 2023 was a quarter, given the market environment, where we expected our stock selection in the QSV strategies to perform better.
Particularly within the QSV Small Cap and Select strategies, a handful of companies disappointed. Some of these, we believe, still deserve a place in the portfolios and we have added to certain names at lower prices where the disappointment is believed to be temporary. Others we have exited in favor of higher conviction positions.
Beyond security selection, the headwinds to our portfolios from being underweight in energy were considerable this quarter. The Energy sector was up over 18% within the Russell 2000 Value index, while every other sector – save Financials at +1.04% – were in negative territory. QSV has historically been underweight in energy companies. In a period of $90 per barrel oil, many energy companies can boast high returns on invested capital; at more “normal” prices it is challenging to find energy businesses with competitive advantages, disciplined management, and the high business returns that we require.
QSV’s Small Cap and Select strategies underperformed their respective Russell value indexes during the quarter while QSV Mid Cap was in line with its index. More information including since-inception performance for each of the strategies may be found at www.qsvequity.com.
QSV Strategy Quarterly Performance
QSV Small Cap returned -5.24% and -5.31%, gross and net of fees, lagging the Russell 2000 Value Index return of -2.96% and the Russell 2000 Index return of -5.13%. The most significant positive impact was made in Consumer Discretionary companies, where QSV added value in security selection and was underweight compared to the index, and in Healthcare, where QSV was overweight and added value through security selection. An underweight and company selection in Energy companies accounted for nearly all the Small Cap portfolio’s underperformance relative to the index. Company selection in Real Estate also detracted from relative returns.
QSV Small Cap Top Contributors
Capri Holdings, Ltd. (CPRI) was the leading contributor to performance during the quarter as shares rose 46%. The purveyor of Michael Kors, Jimmy Choo and Versace agreed to be acquired by Tapestry (TPR) for $57 per share. We expect the deal with TPR to close in 2024 and exited our position placing the proceeds in companies we believe provide better opportunities.
For the second consecutive quarter, foodservice packaging company Karat Packaging (KRT) was a leading contributor to performance. Gross margins improved as KRT continued to benefit from lower input and shipping costs. Core products continue to show sales growth and the company’s Eco-friendly product sales are trending above 30%. The company initiated a quarterly dividend during the quarter, underscoring the strength of its free cash flow. KRT generates returns on invested capital of 15%.
QSV Small Cap Top Detractors
After being one of the portfolio’s greatest contributors for the year, shares of Napco Security Technologies, Inc. (NSSC) dropped on the news that it would restate the prior three quarters’ results due to understating cost of goods sold. NSSC is a global provider and manufacturer of high-tech security, and internet-connected home, video, fire alarm, access control, and door locking systems, serving commercial, industrial, residential, and government markets. Management has said the issue is resolved and will not impact results going forward. We have concerns about management’s controls that led to the need for the restatement and will continue to closely monitor the business. Prior to this restatement, we had sold
a meaningful amount of the position on strength.
Forward Air (FWRD) shares were hit on news that they are merging with private company Omni Logistics, a provider of global freight forwarding and third-party logistics services. The merger will roughly double the scale of FWRD and will add new growth opportunities with an asset light business, yet it does present integration risks. QSV acknowledges these risks but sees opportunities for growth and cost synergies within the business. We added to our position in FWRD on weakness in its shares.
QSV Small Cap Portfolio Activity
The acquisitions of Capri Holdings (CPRI) by Tapestry and PDC Energy (PDCE) by Chevron prompted the exit of those positions during the quarter. Johnson Outdoors (JOUT), UMH Properties (UMH), and UniFirst Corporation (UNF) were sold due to business performance that did not meet our expectations and the opportunity to upgrade to better ideas. New positions were initiated in professional medical platform Doximity (DOCS), business process management company ExlService (EXLS), LabCorp spin-out Fortrea Holdings (FTRE), Hanover Insurance (THG), real estate finance company Walker & Dunlop (WD), and digital media company Ziff Davis (ZD).
QSV Mid Cap returned -4.32%, gross of fees for the quarter, leading the Russell Mid Cap Value Index return of -4.46% and the Russell Mid Cap Index return of -4.68%. The net return of -4.55% lagged the Russell Mid Cap Value Index while exceeding the Russell Mid Cap Index. Security selection in Consumer Discretionary and Industrials companies helped relative performance, while selection in Financials and Real Estate businesses detracted.
QSV Mid Cap Top Contributors
Outsourced payroll and human capital management provider Trinet Group, Inc. (TNET) was the leading contributor to performance in the quarter. Increasing use of technology, digitization of the HR function, employment growth in new industries and increasing geographic decentralization of the small and medium-sized business workforce all create favorable trends for TNET. TNET has competitive advantages relative to its peers that include its scale and the efficiencies offered through the consolidation of its operating units on a single technology platform. TNET generates returns on invested capital of 28% and shares are at a discount to our estimate of intrinsic value.
Shares of APA Corporation (APA) gained more than 20% during the quarter on rising oil prices, contributing to the results of QSV Mid Cap. APA produces oil and gas with operations in the U.S., Egypt and the United Kingdom, and exploration activities offshore in Suriname. APA generates strong free cash flows and is committed to returning 60% to its shareholders, primarily through share repurchases, dividends and paying down its debt.
QSV Mid Cap Top Detractors
Masimo Corporation (MASI) fell on poor financial results and lowered future guidance. Results were impacted by issues that included lower hospital volumes, elevated channel inventory levels, and hospital labor inflation that is impacting capital equipment demand. MASI is a medical technology company which develops, manufactures, and markets non-invasive vital sign monitoring devices and offers consumer audio products. The integration of its acquisition of Sound Audio has continued to present challenges to the business and we exited the position in favor of higher conviction businesses.
Etsy Inc. (ETSY) detracted from performance during the quarter. Etsy markets differentiated products through its “House of Brands” which includes Esty.com, Reverb, and Depop. Competitive advantages include the diversity of its offerings, a strong base of active buyers and sellers, and productivity tools it offers sellers. Despite these advantages, with rising fuel prices, the resumption of student loan payments, and a shift by consumers to “experiences” over goods, we believe there are better opportunities for our investors, thus we exited the position during the quarter.
QSV Mid Cap Portfolio Activity
Turnover during the quarter was higher than usual as QSV took opportunities to upgrade its portfolio. As noted above, Etsy (ETSY) and Masimo (MASI) were exited for business performance reasons. A.O. Smith (AOS), Cintas (CTAS), and Ross Stores (ROST) were sold for valuation reasons and Mid-America Apartment Communities (MAA) was sold to allocate to better ideas. New positions were initiated in digital services provider Amdocs (DOX), nitrogen producer CF Industries (CF), LabCorp spin-out Fortrea Holdings (FTRE), GPS-enabled hardware and software provider Garmin (GRMN), Match Group (MTCH), elevator and escalator manufacturer OTIS Worldwide (OTIS), and Waters (WAT), a provider of liquid chromatography and mass spectrometry products.
QSV Select returned -6.25% and -6.45%, gross and net of fees, lagging the returns of -3.66% and -4.78%, respectively for the Russell 2500 Value and the Russell 2500 Indexes. Select is a high conviction strategy that takes QSV’s best ideas from our Small Cap and Mid Cap strategies. An underweight and company selection in Consumer Discretionary companies helped performance as did QSV’s absence in the poorly performing Utilities sector. Company selection detracted from performance in the Financials sector as did our underweight and underperformance in Energy businesses.
QSV Select Top Contributors
Brady Corporation (BRC) was the leading contributor to performance during the quarter as the company beat consensus earnings estimates and raised its guidance for the full year. The company manufactures and sells identification and workplace safety products through its Identification Solutions and Workplace Safety segments. BRC has niche advantages in safety, identification, and compliance markets and has a diversified customer base, products, and geographic footprint. The company’s strong free cash flows have supported dividend increases for thirty-seven consecutive years, share buybacks and strategic acquisitions.
EPAM Systems, Inc. (EPAM) rose as quarterly results were better than anticipated. The company has diversified its workforce away from its previous exposure to Ukraine and the belief that demand for the company’s services may be bottoming raised investor sentiment. The global technology services company has a network of multidisciplinary teams delivering software product development and digital platform engineering services. Most of the firm’s revenues are generated from U.S. customers and its top twenty clients (representing 41% of revenue) have been with EPAM for an average of ten years. Returns on invested capital stand at 17%.
QSV Select Top Detractors
Masimo Corporation (MASI) and Napco Security Technologies, Inc. (NSSC) were the leading detractors from performance in Q3 and are discussed above.
QSV Select Portfolio Activity
QSV took opportunities to upgrade the Select portfolio during the quarter. Shares of PDC Energy (PDCE) were sold as Chevron (CVX) acquired the business. Generac Holdings (GNRC) was sold for valuation reasons. Positions were initiated in CF Industries (CF) and Fortrea Holdings (FTRE).
Our Focus on the Long Term
Investors began the last quarter on an optimistic note, while bullishness faded in September. Strength of the consumer continues to be touted as a positive for the economy (Americans Are Still Spending Like There’s No Tomorrow), as are strong employment and rising labor participation rates. Yet credit card debt is high and student loan payments are again due. Persistent inflation and higher interest rates will also weigh on the consumer as well as on corporate earnings. The Financial Times notes that 30% of the debt of Russell 2000 companies is variable rate debt (as compared to 6% for S&P 500 companies), presenting risks to lower quality, more leveraged businesses.
At this stage in the market cycle, we believe that QSV’s style of investing and our investors should do well. Late cycle investing favorsthe lower volatility stocks of quality businesses, those that have limited debt, high interest rate coverage and strong free cash flows. Selectivity is important and opportunities abound in small to mid-cap stocks that have been overlooked in the narrow market that dominated the first half of the year. Investors will also do well to check their asset allocation; the mega-cap led markets of 2023 have left many portfolios in an unbalanced state and shifts in allocations may be due.
Disclaimer:
Returns are for the respective composites of QSV Equity Investors. Gross returns are calculated net of trading fees. Net returns are calculated net of trading fees and net of the firm’s management fee. All dividends are assumed to be reinvested. The returns of the QSV Small Cap strategy are compared to the historical performance of the Russell 2000 Indices as they are a widely used benchmarks for small capitalization securities. The returns of the QSV Mid Cap strategy are compared to the historical performance of the Russell Midcap Indices as they are a widely used benchmarks for mid capitalization securities. The returns of the QSV Select strategy are compared to the historical performance of the Russell 2500 Indices as they are a widely used benchmarks for SMID capitalization securities. An investment with QSV Equity Investors should not be construed as an investment in a program that seeks to replicate, or correlate with, these indices. Market conditions vary between the QSV products and these indices. Furthermore, these indices do not include any transaction costs, management fees and other expenses, as do the QSV products. Lastly, QSV may invest in securities and positions that are not included in these indices.
No client or potential client should assume that any information presented should be construed as personalized investment advice. Personalized investment advice can only be rendered after engagement of the firm for services, execution of the required documentation, and receipt of required disclosures. Investing carries risk of loss.
QSV Equity Investors, LLC claims compliance with the Global Investment Performance Standards (GIPS®). GIPS® is a registered trademark of the CFA Institute. CFA Institute does not endorse or promote this organization, nor does it warrant the accuracy or quality of the content contained herein. To view a GIPS report, please visit www.qsvequity.com.
QSV Equity Investors, LLC is a registered investment advisor. For additional information about the firm and its professionals please visit the SEC’s website at www.adviserinfo.sec.gov.
QSV Q2 2023 Commentary
QSV Equity Investors
Q2 2023 Commentary
Stocks climbed a wall of worries in the first half of 2023 that included a banking crisis, higher interest rates and inflation, the debt ceiling debate, and geopolitical concerns. Looking specifically at the “Magnificent Seven” large cap technology stocks, returns of those shares did not climb, but vaulted the wall, leaving other segments of the market in the distance. Bullishness in June lifted shares of lower quality businesses creating headwinds to the quality biased QSV strategies in Q2 2023. Using the Russell Stability indexes as proxies for high and low quality, the Russell Defensive indexes containing businesses with higher Returns on Assets, lower leverage, and lower volatility underperformed low quality businesses, as measured by the Russell Dynamic indexes, across the market cap spectrum for the quarter. QSV’s Small Cap and Mid Cap strategies outperformed their respective Russell value indexes during the quarter while QSV Select slightly underperformed. More information including since-inception performance for each of the strategies may be found at www.qsvequity.com.
QSV Strategy Quarterly Performance
QSV Small Cap returned 3.31% and 3.22%, gross and net of fees, leading the Russell 2000 Value Index return of 3.18% while trailing the Russell 2000 Index return of 5.21%. The most significant positive impact was made in Healthcare, where QSV added value in security selection and was overweight compared to the index, and in Financials, where QSV was underweight and added value through security selection relative to the index. Security selection in Information Technology and Industrials detracted from performance.
QSV Small Cap Top Contributors
Generac Holdings Inc. (GNRC) was the leading contributor to performance during the quarter. Demand for home standby generators is strong and headwinds from high inventory levels in the company’s supply chain are abating. GNRC benefits from a scale advantage in the home generator market with a market share four times greater than their next competitor. The company produces returns on invested capital of 15% and is actively deploying free cash flow from its legacy generator business into its newer clean energy business. QSV trimmed its position in GNRC as the price appreciated.
Karat Packaging (KRT) contributed to performance as shares rose nearly 40%. The foodservice packaging company benefitted from lower input and shipping costs for its products and from increased sales supported by greater distribution capacity in its Midwestern region. KRT produces returns on invested capital of 13% and uses its free cash flow for tuck in acquisitions and capacity expansion.
QSV Small Cap Top Detractors
Shutterstock (SSTK) was the leading detractor to performance for the quarter. Shares fell due to concerns that the stock imagery business of SSTK will be disrupted by Artificial Intelligence generative imagery. While this is a risk to monitor, SSTK is developing its own AI capabilities and is leading its peers with this initiative. SSTK purchased GIPHY from META during the quarter, increasing its total addressable market by adding the world’s largest collection of GIFs and stickers. SSTK produces returns on invested capital of 15%
Glacier Bancorp (GBCI) fell during the quarter as investors reacted to the bank’s lower net interest margins and higher deposit costs. While these results are disappointing, they were not unexpected given the current market environment. We see GBCI as a strong banking franchise with prudent expense management and a thirty-year history of making acquisitions to fuel growth in its business. GBCI produces returns on tangible equity of 16% and has net interest margins more than 3%.
QSV Small Cap Portfolio Activity
Following strong stock performance, Choice Hotels (CHH), Core Laboratories (CLB), Lemaitre Vascular (LMAT), Morningstar (MORN), and Watts Water Technologies (WTS) were sold for valuation reasons. Methode Electronics (MEI) was sold due to concerns over its ability to effectively integrate its acquisition of Northern Lights. World Wrestling Entertainment (WWE) was sold as it approached its acquisition by Endeavor. New positions were initiated in AudioCodes (AUDC), a provider of voice over IP and data networking solutions, Capri Holdings (CPRI), the holding company for retail brands Michael Kors, Jimmy Choo and Versace, consulting services firm ICF International (ICFI), Malibu Boats (MBUU), and Scotts Miracle Gro (SMG). QSV Mid Cap returned 4.09% and 3.84%, gross and net of fees, for the quarter, leading the Russell Mid Cap Value Index return of 3.86% and lagging the Russell Mid Cap Index return of 4.76%. Security selection and an overweight relative to the index in Industrials helped performance as did security selection and an underweight in Utilities. Company selection in Financials and an underweight and security selection in Consumer Discretionary names detracted.
QSV Mid Cap Top Contributors
Management consulting firm Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH) was the leading contributor to performance in the quarter. BAH has scale advantages as a provider of cybersecurity, data analytics, augmented reality, and artificial intelligence projects for the Department of Defense, that, like all U.S. government contracts, are subject to elevated levels of scrutiny that serve as barriers to entry for competitors. The company’s standing as the leader in artificial intelligence solutions to the U.S. government helped propel its share price during the quarter. Shares of vehicle salvage auctioneer Copart (CPRT) gained more than 20% during the quarter. The rate at which insurers choose to total vehicles following accidents has increased due to elevated repair costs, providing CPRT better access to salvaged vehicles for resale. Sales volumes and price per unit sold were up and margins increased during the quarter. CPRT produces returns on invested capital of 26% and net operating margins of 31%. QSV trimmed its position in CPRT during the quarter for valuation reasons.
QSV Mid Cap Top Detractors
MarketAxess Holdings (MKTX) fell on concerns over slightly lower trading volumes that resulted from uncertainty in the banking sector and seasonal patterns. MKTX is the leading platform for trading fixed income securities, where it continues to take market share due to the growing adoption of electronic execution. It is expected that higher yields will drive greater allocations of assets to fixed income and increased participation by retail & institutional investors. Greater adoption by these buyers and by the company’s network of dealers improves liquidity and the effectiveness of the platform for its clients. MKTX produces returns on invested capital of 28% and its shares are at a discount to QSV’s measure of
intrinsic value.
Etsy Inc. (ETSY) declined during the quarter over concerns that consumers’ spending was shifting from goods to services and that the company would be challenged to profitably add customers. Etsy markets differentiated products through its “House of Brands,” which include Esty.com, Reverb, a musical instrument marketplace, Depop, a resale marketplace, and Elo7, a Brazilian marketplace for handmade goods. ETSY joined 7.5 million active sellers with 95.1 buyers as of December 2022. Customer acquisition costs are elevated from COVID era levels, but we see the diversity of its offerings, the strong base of active buyers and sellers, and the productivity tools it offers sellers as competitive advantages. ETSY shares sell at a meaningful discount to our measure of intrinsic value.
QSV Mid Cap Portfolio Activity
QSV took opportunities to upgrade its portfolio during the quarter. New positions were started a previous QSV holding, Jack Henry & Associates (JKHY), a provider of bank technology and payment processing services, and equity exchange Nasdaq Inc. (NDAQ). QSV Select returned 4.03% and 3.80%, gross and net of fees, lagging the returns of 4.37% for the Russell 2500 Value Index and the return of 5.22% for the Russell 2500 Index. Select is a high conviction strategy that takes QSV’s best ideas from our Small Cap and Mid Cap strategies. Company selection in Communication Services and Consumer Staples contributed to performance, while selection in Financials and Real Estate detracted.
QSV Select Top Contributors
Generac Holdings Inc. (GNRC) was the leading contributor to performance during the quarter
and is discussed above. Management consulting firm Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH) was a leading contributor to performance and
is also discussed above.
QSV Select Top Detractors
After being a top contributor to performance of the Select strategy in Q1, shares of electronic trading platform MarketAxess Holdings (MKTX) detracted from performance in Q2. MKTX is discussed above.
Glacier Bancorp (GBCI) fell during the quarter and is also discussed above.
QSV Select Portfolio Activity
QSV took opportunities to upgrade the Select portfolio during the quarter. Shares of Church & Dwight (CHD), Pubmatic (PUBM), and WD-40 (WDFC) were sold for valuation reasons and to purchase higher conviction companies. Positions were initiated in EPAM Systems, Inc. (EPAM), Jack Henry & Associates (JKHY), and Paycom Software (PAYC).
Our Focus on the Long Term
Optimism has returned to the markets and to consumer sentiment, and somewhat rightfully so. 401(k) and brokerage account balances have improved measurably from the end of 2022. This optimism has supported stronger consumer spending on services and is reflected in the performance of certain stocks, with cruise line operators Carnival, Norwegian and Royal Caribbean standing out as the top three S&P 500 performers in Q2. For those still seeking out areas for concern (and not believing that it is different this time) risks exist. Core inflation, the measure excluding food and energy, remains well above target and is declining at a glacial pace. The Federal Reserve and its peer central banks have not yet gotten the desired results from a string of rate hikes. Chairman Powell’s comments that we have “a long way to go” in getting back to 2% policy rates signal more rate increases to come. Elevated borrowing costs are likely to eat into corporate profits and we believe this puts the current valuations of lower quality, more leveraged small and mid-cap companies at risk. Opportunities exist for equity investors, and we counsel an emphasis on quality businesses with limited debt, high interest rate coverage and strong free cash flows. As always, this remains our focus for delivering long-term results for our clients as we invest alongside them.
Disclaimer:
Returns are for the respective composites of QSV Equity Investors. Gross returns are calculated net of trading fees. Net returns are calculated net of trading fees and net of the firm’s management fee. All dividends are assumed to be reinvested. The returns of the QSV Small Cap strategy are compared to the historical performance of the Russell 2000 Indices as they are a widely used benchmarks for small capitalization securities. The returns of the QSV Mid Cap strategy are compared to the historical performance of the Russell Midcap Indices as they are a widely used benchmarks for mid capitalization securities. The returns of the QSV Select strategy are compared to the historical performance of the Russell 2500 Indices as they are a widely used benchmarks for SMID capitalization securities. An investment with QSV Equity Investors should not be construed as an investment in a program that seeks to replicate, or correlate with, these indices. Market conditions vary between the QSV products and these indices. Furthermore, these indices do not include any transaction costs, management fees and other expenses, as do the QSV products. Lastly, QSV may invest in securities and positions that are not included in these indices.
No client or potential client should assume that any information presented should be construed as personalized investment advice. Personalized investment advice can only be rendered after engagement of the firm for services, execution of the required documentation, and receipt of required disclosures. Investing carries risk of loss.
QSV Equity Investors, LLC claims compliance with the Global Investment Performance Standards (GIPS®). GIPS® is a registered trademark of the CFA Institute. CFA Institute does not endorse or promote this organization, nor does it warrant the accuracy or quality of the content contained herein. To view a GIPS report, please visit www.qsvequity.com.
QSV Equity Investors, LLC is a registered investment advisor. For additional information about the firm and its professionals please visit the SEC’s website at www.adviserinfo.sec.gov.
QSV Q1 2023 Commentary
QSV Equity Investors (formerly Ballast Equity Management)
Q1 2023 Commentary
Equity markets finished the quarter with positive returns, while the path to those gains was a rocky one. January was marked by robust performance, with shares of lower-quality, higher beta companies showing significant gains. Markets were dampened in February with news that inflation, while cooling, persists and employment remains strong. March followed with the big story of the quarter, the “don’t say bailout” banking crisis, and the ninth in a string of interest rate increases from the Federal Reserve. Each of the QSV strategies produced returns ahead of their respective Russell value and core indexes during the quarter supported by positive stock selection. More information including since-inception performance for each of the strategies may be found at www.qsvequity.com.
QSV Strategy Quarterly Performance
QSV Small Cap returned 3.40% and 3.31%, gross and net of fees, leading both the Russell 2000 Value Index return of (.66)% and the Russell 2000 Index return of 2.74%. The most significant positive impact was made in Financials, where QSV added value in security selection and was underweight compared to the index, and in Communication Services, where QSV was overweight and outperformed the index. Our underweight and underperformance compared to the Consumer Discretionary sector detracted from performance.
QSV Small Cap Top Contributors
NAPCO Security Technologies (NSSC) was the leading contributor to performance during the quarter. Shares rose over 36% on better-than-expected revenues for the quarter and positive trends toward more recurring revenues. NAPCO manufactures security products for intrusion, fire, access control, and door locking systems. The company’s revenue primarily comes from commercial customers and products are sold through NAPCO’s ecosystem of 10,000 dealers and 2,000 integrators. Shares of media company World Wrestling Entertainment (WWE) were up more than 33% as expectations of a sale of the business rose. WWE has a strong brand within a niche audience, especially for its popular Raw and SmackDown content. Most revenues for WWE come from North America, but we believe there is an opportunity for growth outside the U.S. It was announced on April 3 that Endeavor Group (EDR) will form a new company, combining the UFC and WWE brands.
QSV Small Cap Top Detractors
Seacoast Banking Corp of Florida (SBCF) was the leading detractor to performance for the quarter as shares dropped in tandem with the banking industry. SBCF offers commercial and consumer banking, wealth management, and mortgage and insurance services in the rapidly growing Florida market. While QSV Commentary Q1 2023 shares fell along with their regional bank peers, we see SBCF as a well-capitalized business with growing net interest margins, Returns on Tangible Equity of 10% and Returns on Equity of 7%. Also in the banking industry, Horizon Bancorp (HBNC), fell during the quarter, detracting from performance. HBNC offers commercial and consumer banking, wealth management, and mortgage and insurance services to customers in Central Indiana and Michigan. Its network of branches includes those acquired from TCF Financial in 2021. While negatively affected by the quarter’s banking crisis, we see HBNC as a strong enterprise, with Returns on Tangible Equity of 18% and Returns on Equity of 13%.
QSV Small Cap Portfolio Activity
Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings Inc. (AJRD) shares were sold early in Q1 as the company was acquired by L3Harris Technologies. QSV initiated new positions in investment banking and wealth management firm Evercore Equity (EVR), Kulicke & Soffa Industries (KLIC), a maker of capital equipment and tools for the semiconductor industry, and NexPoint Residential Trust (NXRT), an operator of multi-family properties
in the southeastern U.S. The QSV Mid Cap strategy returned 5.28% and 5.02%, gross and net of fees, for the quarter, leading both the Russell Mid Cap Value Index return of 1.32% and the Russell Mid Cap Index return of 4.06%. QSV’s security selection added value in the Energy and Consumer Staples sectors, while security selection in Financials detracted.
QSV Mid Cap Top Contributors
West Pharmaceutical Services (WST) rose by 47% during the quarter on further evidence of pricing power and margin increases across its portfolio of products. WST has competitive advantages as a key supplier to pharmaceutical, biotechnology, and generic drug businesses, with expertise in the development and manufacture of supplies for the containment and administration of injectable drugs. The company delivers Returns on Invested Capital of 22%.
Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR) gained more than 40% during the quarter on optimism over the firm’s year-over-year results, diversification of its manufacturing capabilities, and long-term growth prospects. MPWR is a global provider of high-performance, semiconductor based power solutions. As a “fabless” company – one that does not manufacture the chips used in its products – MPWR has benefitted from devoting more resources to chip design rather than capital expenditures, resulting in greater free cash flows, higher margins, and Returns on Invested Capital of 24%.
QSV Mid Cap Top Detractors
Shares of exploration and production company APA Corp (APA) fell as recessionary concerns and waning oil and natural gas prices weighed on investor sentiment. We see APA as a strong operator with geographically diversified sources of production and the ability to emphasize oil or gas production as each presents itself as more advantageous. APA is committed to returning 60% of its strong free cash flow to shareholders in the form of dividends and share repurchases. Shares of management consulting firm Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH) pulled back during the quarter due to a potential Federal government shutdown and feared budget cuts. While these actions would impact QSV Commentary Q1 2023 revenues to BAH, the current backlog of projects should produce growth for the business in 2023 and beyond. Additionally, BAH has been more resilient as it focuses on large government-wide acquisition contracts (GWACs) that can be less susceptible to reductions across government agencies.
QSV Mid Cap Portfolio Activity
With the early quarter rally and later decline, QSV took opportunities to upgrade its portfolio. QSV exited Casey’s General Stores (CASY), Skyworks Solutions (SWKS), and Snap-on Inc (SNA). New positions were started in multi-family real estate investment trust Mid-America Apartment Communities (MAA) and Paycom Software (PAYC), a provider of payroll and human capital software. The QSV Select strategy returned 6.68% and 6.45%, gross and net of fees, leading the returns of 1.40% for the Russell 2500 Value Index and the return of 3.39% for the Russell 2500 Index. Select is a high conviction strategy that takes QSV’s best ideas from our Small Cap and Mid Cap strategies. An underweight and outperformance in Financials helped performance, as did an overweight and outperformance in Healthcare holdings. The leading detractor from performance was our overweight and underperformance in Industrials.
QSV Select Top Contributors
West Pharmaceutical Services (WST) was the leading contributor to performance during the quarter and is discussed above.
MarketAxess Holdings (MKTX), the leading platform for the electronic trading of corporate bonds, contributed to performance during the quarter as investors continued to move from voice-negotiated trading to electronic trading of bonds. MKTX’s dominance in corporate bonds also stands as a risk, as revenues are tied to the level of corporate bond issuance and credit spread volatility. Trends toward increasing turnover in these bonds and capabilities in trading U.S. Treasuries and municipal bonds should help boost revenues. MKTX produces Returns on Invested Capital of 28% and its shares are at a discount to QSV’s measure of intrinsic value.
QSV Select Top Detractors
Following a solid quarterly earnings report, shares of Synovus Financial Corp (SNV) fell along with the banking industry during the March banking crisis. SNV offers shareholders an opportunity to take part in the rapidly growing southeastern U.S. market. The company produces Returns on Tangible Equity of 20% and Returns on Equity of 16%. Shares sell at a significant discount to QSV’s measure of intrinsic value.
Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH) shares also detracted from performance. BAH is discussed above.
QSV Select Portfolio Activity
Turnover was limited during the quarter. As in the QSV Mid Cap strategy, we exited shares of premium tool provider Snap-on Inc (SNA) for valuation reasons.
Our Focus on the Long Term
The banking crisis puts the Federal Reserve in a tenuous spot as it considers added rate increases in the battle against inflation. Pressure on banks’ balance sheets caused by both the stresses on existing borrowers and the need to raise rates credited on deposits will lead to tightened lending standards and diminished lending. This, in turn, will put the brakes on growth and contribute to the risks of a recession. QSV cannot predict with any greater accuracy than the next person whether a recession occurs, but we do know that challenging times such as these generally favor quality businesses that can self-fund growth through free cash flows and less reliance on debt markets. Investors sought quality in a compact list of mega-cap tech companies in early 2023; we believe more compelling opportunities exist in small and midcap companies for investors able to dig out those with durable competitive advantages and reasonable valuations.
Disclaimer:
Returns are for the respective composites of QSV Equity Investors. Gross returns are calculated net of trading fees. Net returns are calculated net of trading fees and net of the firm’s management fee. All dividends are assumed to be reinvested. The returns of the QSV Small Cap strategy are compared to the historical performance of the Russell 2000 Indices as they are a widely used benchmarks for small capitalization securities. The returns of the QSV Mid Cap strategy are compared to the historical performance of the Russell Midcap Indices as they are a widely used benchmarks for mid capitalization securities. The returns of the QSV Select strategy are compared to the historical performance of the Russell 2500 Indices as they are a widely used benchmarks for SMID capitalization securities. An investment with QSV Equity Investors should not be construed as an investment in a program that seeks to replicate, or correlate with, these indices. Market conditions vary between the QSV products and these indices. Furthermore, these indices do not include any transaction costs, management fees and other expenses, as do the QSV products. Lastly, QSV may invest in securities and positions that are not included in these indices.
No client or potential client should assume that any information presented should be construed as personalized investment advice. Personalized investment advice can only be rendered after engagement of the firm for services, execution of the required documentation, and receipt of required disclosures. Investing carries risk of loss.
QSV Equity Investors, LLC claims compliance with the Global Investment Performance Standards (GIPS®). GIPS® is a registered trademark of the CFA Institute. CFA Institute does not endorse or promote this organization, nor does it warrant the accuracy or quality of the content contained herein. To view a GIPS report, please visit www.qsvequity.com.
QSV Equity Investors, LLC is a registered investment advisor. For additional information about the firm and its professionals please visit the SEC’s website at www.adviserinfo.sec.gov.
QSV Equity Investors Q3 2022 Commentary
QSV Equity Investors
Q3 2022 Commentary
More information including since-inception performance for each of the strategies may be found at
www.qsvequityinvestors.com.
Stocks began the quarter during a mid-summer rally, but ended September in bear market territory, as
fears of sticky inflation, potential policy errors by global central banks and the possibility of a recession
weighed heavily on both stock and bond markets. After tagging inflation as “transitory” in 2021, Federal
Reserve Chairman Powell is now showing himself to be more Paul Volcker than Alan Greenspan, with a
willingness to tolerate “some pain to households and businesses” as he swiftly pursues a 2% inflation
target.
QSV’s Quality Value Smallcap and Quality Value Midcap strategies each outpaced its respective Russell
benchmark during the quarter, while the Select Value strategy slightly lagged its index. Of note: Select
Value, a high conviction “best ideas” portfolio of small and mid-capitalization companies, reached its fifth
anniversary, significantly outperforming both the Russell 2500 Value and 2500 Indexes with less risk and
positive stock selection over the five-year period.
QSV Strategy Quarterly Performance
The QSV Quality Value Smallcap Strategy returned -2.90% and -3.04%, gross and net of fees, leading
the Russell 2000 Value Index return of -4.61% while trailing the Russell 2000 Index return of -2.19%.
Security selection in Information Technology, Industrials and Consumer Staples helped performance,
while an underweight and negative security selection in Energy and negative security selection in
Consumer Discretionary companies detracted.
Quality Value Smallcap Top Contributors
NAPCO Security Technologies, Inc. (NSSC) was the leading contributor to performance during the quarter,
as shares rose over 40%. NSSC is a provider and manufacturer of high-tech security, and internetconnected home, video, fire alarm, access control, and door locking systems, operating globally in
commercial, industrial, residential, and government markets. Despite a slowdown due to COVID-19,
increased funding for school security and the mandated nature of fire alarm installations support stable
and growing revenues for the business. NSSC produces returns on invested capital more than 17%.
Computer Services Inc. (CSVI) shares rallied significantly after the company agreed to be taken private in
a deal valued at $1.6 billion by buyers Centerbridge Partners, L.P. and Bridgeport Partners. The acquisition
price valued CSI at more than a 50% premium to its pre-announcement price. While the deal is expected
to close in Q4, QSV took its gains and exited its position in favor of other opportunities.
Q3 2022 COMMENTARY 2
Quality Value Smallcap Top Detractors
CarGurus (CARG) was the leading detractor to performance for the quarter. Quarterly results beat street
expectations, but macroeconomic headwinds and seasonal slowness were cited as the reasons for lower
guidance for the coming quarter. Despite its challenges, asset light CARG has the competitive advantage
of a strong network effect with over thirty-nine million unique visitors each month and over 30,000 paying
dealerships globally. The company produces returns on invested capital of 12% and shares trade
significantly below QSV’s view of intrinsic value.
Shares of Dorman Products Inc. (DORM) fell during Q3 despite strong financial performance during the
trailing quarter. Inflation, rising interest rates, labor challenges and supply chain issues will test the
provider of automotive parts, yet secular trends of aging cars and more miles driven support the case for
ownership of the asset-light company. DORM is financially strong; low levels of debt and strong free cash
flows have supported share buybacks and acquisitions that broaden its product portfolio and the end
markets served.
Quality Value Smallcap Portfolio Activity
With the early quarter rally and subsequent decline, QSV Equity Investors saw many opportunities to upgrade its
portfolio and activity was higher than normal. QSV Equity Investors exited positions in Computer Services Inc. (CSVI), 1-
800 Flowers.com (FLWS),Frontdoor Inc. (FTDR),Lancaster Colony (LANC), Omega Flex Inc. (OFLX), and
UFP Technologies (UFPT).
New positions were initiated in asset manager Cohen & Steers Inc. (CNS), consumer products company
Helen of Troy Ltd. (HELE), Innoviva (INVA), a biopharma company that collaborates with GlaxoSmithKline,
and real estate company Netstreit (NTST). Also initiated were positions in semiconductor provider Power
Integrations (POWI), digital advertising platform PubMatic (PUBM), digital content provider Shutterstock
(SSTK), and UMH Properties (UMH), a real estate investment trust focused on mobile home properties.
The QSV Equity Investors Quality Value Midcap Strategy returned -3.17% and -3.41%, gross and net of fees, for the
quarter, leading both the Russell Mid Cap Value Index return of -4.93% and the Russell Mid Cap Index
return of -3.44%. QSV Equity Investors’ security selection added value in the Information Technology, Financials and
Consumer Staples sectors, while an underweight and negative security selection in Energy detracted.
Quality Value Midcap Top Contributors
ETSY Inc. (ETSY) rose during the quarter as earnings beat expectations, driven by cost controls and higher
take rates, or fees charged to sellers on the retailer’s platform. ETSY is a high margin retail platform
specializing in handmade and vintage products. ETSY also offers services to improve the productivity of its
sellers, including advertising, logistics and payments. ETSY has strong network effects from a seller base
which is loyal to the platform and dependent on it for its active buyer base of 90 million. ETSY produces
returns on invested capital of 17% and shares are currently at a significant discount to QSV Equity Investors’ estimate
of intrinsic value.
Shares of global technology services company EPAM Systems Inc. (EPAM) rose during the quarter on
strong business performance, guidance from management, and positive news about its global workforce.
EPAM has a network of multidisciplinary teams, 60% of which were in the conflict region of Russia, Belarus,
Q3 2022 COMMENTARY 3 and Ukraine as of February 2022. This exposure has been lowered to 40% of EPAM’s global delivery
footprint and management has targeted 30% by year-end. Most of the firm’s revenues are generated from
U.S. customers and returns on invested capital stand at 18%.
Quality Value Midcap Top Detractors
Helen of Troy Ltd. (HELE) shares fell as the company reduced revenue and earnings guidance for 2023
due to the macroeconomic environment and inventory gluts. HELE is a consumer products company with
leading brands that include OXO, Hydro Flask, Honeywell, Braun, Vick’s, PUR, Hot Tools, Drybar and
Osprey Packs. The company has a strategy to focus more resources on its leading brands; 81% of fiscal
2022 revenue came from its top brands while the company’s leadership brands accounted for 56% of
revenue in 2014. This operational rigor also includes expense control and reductions that we believe will
benefit the company. Shares sell for a significant discount to QSV Equity Investors’ view of intrinsic value.
Shares of household and personal care product producer Church & Dwight Co. Inc. (CHD) fell during the
quarter due to weak quarterly results and reduced guidance because of inventory issues at clients,
including Wal-Mart. We believe the sell-off of CHD shares is overdone and that these headwinds should
turn into tailwinds as pricing stays firm, but supply constraints improve. CHD has strong management and
a 120-year history of paying dividends, buying back shares, and making acquisitions. The company
produces returns on invested capital of 16%.
Quality Value Midcap Portfolio Activity
With the early quarter rally and subsequent decline, QSV Equity Investors saw many opportunities to upgrade its
portfolio and activity was higher than normal. QSV Equity Investors exited Fortinet Inc. (FTNT), Jack Henry & Associates
(JKHY), Lancaster Colony (LANC), Service Corporation International (SCI), and The Scotts Miracle Gro
(SMG).
New positions were initiated in cybersecurity vendor Check Point Software Technologies (CHKP),
MarketAxess Holdings Inc. (MKTX), the leading platform for the electronic trading of corporate bonds,
Teradyne Inc. (TER), a leading provider of semiconductor chip testing equipment and West
Pharmaceutical Services, Inc. (WST), a provider of packaging and delivery components for injectable
therapeutics.
The QSV Select Value Strategy returned -4.72% and -4.93%, gross and net of fees, trailing the returns
of -4.50% and -2.82% for the Russell 2500 Value and Russell 2500 Indexes, respectively. Select Value is a
high conviction strategy that takes QSV Equity Investor’s “best ideas” from our Quality Value Smallcap and Quality
Value Midcap strategies. Security selection helped performance most notably in Information Technology
and Communication Services companies, while detracting in Consumer Discretionary holdings. An
underweight and negative security selection in Energy detracted from performance.
Select Value Top Contributors
As in the QSV Equity Investors Quality Value Smallcap portfolio, NAPCO Security Technologies, Inc. (NSSC) was the
leading contributor to performance during the quarter and is discussed above.
Lancaster Colony Corp (LANC) shares aided performance during the quarter as the company delivered
results well above the market’s expectations. LANC is a provider of specialty food products sold through
retail and food service channels. The company leverages certain products from its food service channel,
such as Chick-fil-A sauces and Buffalo Wild Wings sauces, which are sold under exclusive licensing
agreements. LANC has been successful in responding to inflation with price increases and cost savings
programs to partially offset these higher costs. Shares were sold during the quarter for valuation reasons.
Select Value Top Detractors
As in the Quality Value Midcap strategy, Consumer Staples companies Church & Dwight Co. (CHD) and
Helen of Troy Ltd. (HELE) were the leading detractors from performance during the quarter. Both are
discussed above.
Select Value Portfolio Activity
Keeping with its approach to invest in the best ideas of QSV Equity Investors’s Quality Value Smallcap and Midcap
strategies, QSV Equity Investors sold and purchased several holdings, upgrading its portfolio. QSV exited positions in
Jack Henry and Associates (JKHY), Lancaster Colony (LANC), Service Corporation International (SCI),
and The Scotts Miracle Gro (SMG).
QSV Equity Investors initiated positions in Cohen & Steers, (CNS), MarketAxess Holdings, Netstreit (NTST), PubMatic
(PUBM), and West Pharmaceutical Services, Inc. (WST) during the quarter.
Our Focus on the Long Term
The Federal Reserve’s tightening cycle threatens to “break things” and may tip the economy into a
recession, with declines in corporate earnings to follow. A silver lining of the bear market is more
reasonable equity valuations relative to early 2022 and long-term averages, yet it is difficult to know the
outlook for earnings – and the validity of current valuation estimates – when so many uncertainties exist.
We would like to think that “everything is priced in,” but experience has shown we cannot know
everything. Bottom line: we do not think that we are out of the woods yet and the economy and markets
will likely get worse before getting better.
Rising interest rates and stubborn inflation have shown there are few places for investors to hide. There
are companies with greater resilience to these challenges, though, which provide the “QSV” we seek
for our clients’ portfolios. Businesses with pricing power, lower levels of debt, lower capital intensity and
competitive “moats” offer attractive opportunities for long term investors to upgrade their portfolios and
benefit from the long-term compounding that results. We invite you to join us.
Disclaimer:
Returns are for the respective composites of QSV Equity Investors. Gross returns are
calculated net of trading fees. Net returns are calculated net of trading fees and net of the firm’s
management fee. All dividends are assumed to be reinvested. The returns of the BQV Midcap Strategy are
compared to the historical performance of the Russell Midcap Indices as they are a widely used
benchmarks for mid capitalization securities. The returns of the BQV Smallcap Strategy are compared to
the historical performance of the Russell 2000 Indices as they are a widely used benchmarks for small
capitalization securities. The returns of the QSV Equity Investors are compared to the historical
performance of the Russell 2500 Indices as they are a widely used benchmarks for SMID capitalization
securities. An investment with QSV Equity Investors should not be construed as an investment in a
program that seeks to replicate, or correlate with, these indices. Market conditions vary between the BEM
products and these indices. Furthermore, these indices do not include any transaction costs, management
fees and other expenses, as do the BEM Products. Lastly, BEM may invest in securities and positions that
are not included in these indices.
No client or potential client should assume that any information presented should be construed as
personalized investment advice. Personalized investment advice can only be rendered after engagement
of the firm for services, execution of the required documentation, and receipt of required disclosures.
Investing carries risk of loss.
QSV Equity Investors claims compliance with the Global Investment Performance Standards
(GIPS®). GIPS® is a registered trademark of the CFA Institute. CFA Institute does not endorse or promote
this organization, nor does it warrant the accuracy or quality of the content contained herein. To view a
GIPS report, please visit www.qsvequityinvestors.com.
QSV Equity Investors is a registered investment advisor. For additional information about the
firm and its professionals please visit the SEC’s website at www.adviserinfo.sec.gov
QSV Equity Investors Q4 2022 Commentary
QSV Equity Investors
Q4 2022 Commentary
Q4 2022 began with a bear market rally that continued into November but waned in December. Rate hikes
by the Federal Reserve and Chairman Powell’s comments that it was too soon to consider a pause tested
investors’ resolve. November’s mid-term election delivered the ingredients for gridlock in Washington,
and we ended 2022 with investors feeling the sting of a difficult year that offered few places to hide from
sharply negative results.
The exceptional place to hide for equity investors in 2022 was the energy sector. QSV has generally
found few businesses in this sector that we believe make prudent capital allocation decisions and our
underweight to these companies was a meaningful drag on our annual performance.
QSV’s Quality Value Smallcap strategy did produce returns ahead of both the Russell 2000 Value and
Russell 2000 indices in 2022. Our Quality Value Midcap and Select Value strategies each lagged their
respective Russell value indexes while outperforming the Russell Mid Cap and Russell 2500 indexes,
respectively. We remain confident in our ability to outperform these benchmarks over full market cycles
and have done so since the inception of each product. More information including since-inception
performance for each of the strategies may be found at www.qsvequityinvestors.com.
QSV Strategy Quarterly Performance
The QSV Quality Value Smallcap Strategy returned 6.58% and 6.49%, gross and net of fees, lagging
the Russell 2000 Value Index return of 8.42% while leading the Russell 2000 Index return of 6.23%. Security
selection in Healthcare and Energy helped performance, while an underweight and negative security
selection in Consumer Discretionary companies detracted.
Quality Value Smallcap Top Contributors
Rocket propulsion supplier Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings Inc. (AJRD) was the leading contributor to
performance during the quarter. Shares rose nearly 40% on news that the company would be acquired by
L3Harris Technologies (LHX) after AJRD was courted by multiple suitors. Earlier in 2022, an acquisition of
the company by Lockheed was scuttled over antitrust concerns. We continue to hold AJRD and believe
the likelihood that the deal will close in early 2023 is high.
Shares of property and casualty insurer RLI Corp. (RLI) rose more than 35%. Despite the impact of
Hurricane Ian, RLI quarterly results were strong, with lower-than-expected losses and a 13% increase in
gross premiums written. Earnings reflected the gains on the sale of RLI’s minority ownership in eyewear
maker Maui Jim for $686 million, a stake held for more than 25 years due to RLI’s legacy ophthalmic
services subsidiary.
Quality Value Smallcap Top Detractors
Simulations Plus Inc. (SLP) was the leading detractor to performance for the quarter as shares dropped
on earnings that were below street expectations. SLP is a leading provider of software and services used
by major pharmaceutical, biotech, and regulatory agencies to make better informed, data-driven
decisions. While earnings are expected to be more muted in the coming year due to higher labor costs,
we see long term value due to the company’s high switching costs, intellectual assets, and a 93% renewal
rate by its customers. SLP produces operating margins of 29% on average and its shares are well below
our estimate of intrinsic value.
Shares of direct-to-consumer pool and spa provider Leslies Inc. (LESL) fell during Q4 on recession concerns
and worries over consumer spending. LESL is the industry leader globally, with both physical stores and
strong digital distribution, and benefits from recurring revenues from meeting its customers’ maintenance
needs. While we have confidence in its business model, we sold our position in LESL for better
opportunities.
Quality Value Smallcap Portfolio Activity
With the early quarter rally and subsequent decline, QSVsaw many opportunities to upgrade its
portfolio. QSV exited positions in Allied Motion Technologies (AMOT), CarGurus Inc. (CARG), Leslies
Inc. (LESL), and John B. Sanfilippo and Son Inc. (JBSS).
New positions were initiated in title and specialty insurer First American Financial (FAF), home generator
manufacturer Generac Holdings (GNRC), exploration and production company PDC Energy (PDCE), and
UFP Industries (UFPI), a provider of lumber and treated wood products.
The QSV Quality Value Midcap Strategy returned 9.03% and 8.76%, gross and net of fees, for the
quarter, lagging both the Russell Mid Cap Value Index return of 10.45% and the Russell Mid Cap Index
return of 9.18%. QSV’s security selection added value in the Energy and Consumer Staples sectors, while
security selection in Financial names detracted.
Quality Value Midcap Top Contributors
Ross Stores Inc. (ROST) rose by 38% during the quarter driven by strong Q3 results and optimism for the
coming quarter and 2023. Lower income consumers that drive sales for ROST have been challenged in
2022 by higher energy, housing, and food costs, but employment and wage growth appear as positives.
ROST is expected to continue to benefit from competitive advantages that include significant vendor
relationships and strong inventory management. Returns on invested capital stand at 30% on average.
Shares of management consulting firm Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH) rose during the quarter as the
company both beat quarterly expectations and raised guidance for revenue and earnings for the full year.
BAH is a leading provider of management and technology consulting. Its “best of breed” status stands as
a competitive advantage as it captures contracts from the U.S. government, generating 97% of the
company’s revenues. BAH generates returns on invested capital of 15% on average.
Quality Value Midcap Top Detractors
First Financial Bankshares Inc. (FFIN) shares fell as rising interest rates increased deposit costs and loan
demand moderated. FFIN is a highly profitable bank holding company with a footprint in the thriving Texas
market. FFIN produces returns on tangible equity of 16% and its shares are priced at a discount to our
view of its intrinsic value.
Shares of self-storage owner and operator Extra Space Storage (EXR) fell during the quarter as
management lowered earnings guidance. Lower share prices also reflected the impact of higher interest
rates; 38% of the company’s debt was variable at the end of Q3 2022. We continue to have confidence in
the long-term prospects for EXR, supported by its same-store occupancy rate of 96% and its size and scale,
giving it a significant cost advantage and marketing presence over smaller peers.
Quality Value Midcap Portfolio Activity
With the early quarter rally and subsequent decline, QSV saw many opportunities to upgrade its
portfolio. QSV exited Celanese Corp. (CE), Clorox (CLX), Take Two Interactive (TTWO), and Helen of
Troy (HELE).
New positions were initiated in exploration and production company APA Corp. (APA), industrial and
office REIT EastGroup Properties (EGP), Lennox International (LII), a leader in heating, ventilation and
cooling products, Northern Trust (NTRS), offering leadership in custody and wealth management services,
and Zebra Technologies (ZBRA), a leader in automatic identification and data capture technology.
The QSV Select Value Strategy returned 8.00% and 7.76%, gross and net of fees, trailing the return of
9.21% for the Russell 2500 Value Index while leading the return of 7.43% for the Russell 2500 Index. Select
Value is a high conviction strategy that takes QSV “best ideas” from our Quality Value Smallcap and
Quality Value Midcap strategies. Security selection helped performance most notably in Healthcare and
Industrials companies. An overweight and negative security selection in Information Technology
detracted from performance as did an underweight and negative security selection in Consumer
Discretionary names.
Select Value Top Contributors
Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH) was the leading contributor to performance during the quarter and is
discussed above.
Getty Realty Corporation (GTY) shares aided performance during the quarter as shares rose by over 27%.
The company met earnings expectations for the quarter and management raised guidance for the full year
2022. GTY owns a portfolio of more than 1000 properties that are leased at 99.5% with annual rent
escalators averaging 1.6%. Properties are predominantly convenience stores and gas stations which are
e-commerce and recession resistant.
Select Value Top Detractors
PubMatic Inc. (PUBM) was the leading detractor to performance during the quarter. PUBM is a leading
platform provider in the programmatic digital advertising technology market, helping publishers that
supply digital ad inventory to better manage their inventory, selling a high percentage of their inventory
and maximizing revenue per ad sold. Competitive advantages include switching costs – the time, effort,
and money required to transfer platforms once an advertiser is set up on PUBM’s platform – and cost
advantages through its investment in infrastructure and off-shore research and development. PUBM
produces returns on invested capital of 15% and its shares are currently at a significant discount to our
measure of intrinsic value.
National Storage Affiliates Trust (NSA) detracted from performance as rising interest rates are expected
to impact both the company’s variable rate debt and its borrowing costs for future acquisitions.
Additionally, occupancy rates were off more than anticipated. NSA is the fourth largest publicly traded
REIT focused on self-storage and benefits from high switching costs. We continue to have conviction in
high-quality NSA as it produces funds from operation well above its peers driven by its focus on properties
in secondary markets that are often overlooked by its competitors. While lower occupancies are cause for
concern, these levels follow post-COVID increases that were significant and unsustainable.
Select Value Portfolio Activity
Continuing with our approach to investing in the best ideas of QSV’s Quality Value Smallcap and
Midcap strategies, QSV sold and purchased several holdings, upgrading its portfolio. QSV exited
positions in Clorox (CLX), John B. Sanfilippo & Son (JBSS), Take Two Interactive (TTWO), and Helen of
Troy (HELE).
QSV initiated positions in EastGroup Properties (EGP), Generac Holdings (GNRC), PDC Energy (PDCE),
and Zebra Technologies (ZBRA) during the quarter.
Our Focus on the Long Term
The folly of predicting macro events was laid bare in 2022 as the Federal Reserve and Wall Street were
wildly wrong concerning the persistence of inflation and the direction of equity and bond markets. We
suspect that the Federal Reserve has more interest rate hikes in store for us in 2023, that a recession is
possible, that downward earnings revisions are likely, and that consumers face trouble as personal savings
rates are down while debt levels are up. To the positive, the employment picture remains strong, although
questions remain whether inflation can come down without impacting the labor market.
We know that the macro events of the coming year are unknowable, so, as always, we prepare for the
challenges and opportunities to come through ownership of quality businesses that possess competitive
“moats.” This approach has proven to be a cornerstone in building enduring wealth over the long term.
The price paid for ownership of these businesses is critical to success. There is great uncertainty as to the
outlook for corporate earnings in 2023 but we know that a focus on quality provides some clarity;
businesses with low leverage, stable and growing cash flows and stable and growing returns on invested
capital give us a far better starting point for making sound assessments of the future cash flows each
business will deliver. We believe the carnage of the past year has created tremendous opportunities to
upgrade to higher quality, small and mid-cap businesses, setting our clients up for success.
Disclaimer:
Returns are for the respective composites of QSV Equity Management (BEM). Gross returns are
calculated net of trading fees. Net returns are calculated net of trading fees and net of the firm’s
management fee. All dividends are assumed to be reinvested. The returns of the BQV Midcap Strategy are
compared to the historical performance of the Russell Midcap Indices as they are a widely used
benchmarks for mid capitalization securities. The returns of the BQV Smallcap Strategy are compared to
the historical performance of the Russell 2000 Indices as they are a widely used benchmarks for small
capitalization securities. The returns of the QSV Select Value Strategy are compared to the historical
performance of the Russell 2500 Indices as they are a widely used benchmarks for SMID capitalization
securities. An investment with QSV Equity Management should not be construed as an investment in a
program that seeks to replicate, or correlate with, these indices. Market conditions vary between the BEM
products and these indices. Furthermore, these indices do not include any transaction costs, management
fees and other expenses, as do the BEM Products. Lastly, BEM may invest in securities and positions that
are not included in these indices.
No client or potential client should assume that any information presented should be construed as
personalized investment advice. Personalized investment advice can only be rendered after engagement
of the firm for services, execution of the required documentation, and receipt of required disclosures.
Investing carries risk of loss.
QSV Equity Management, LLC claims compliance with the Global Investment Performance Standards
(GIPS®). GIPS® is a registered trademark of the CFA Institute. CFA Institute does not endorse or promote
this organization, nor does it warrant the accuracy or quality of the content contained herein. To view a
GIPS report, please visit www.qsvequityinvestors.com.
QSV Equity Management, LLC is a registered investment advisor. For additional information about the
firm and its professionals please visit the SEC’s website at www.adviserinfo.sec.gov.
QSV Equity Investors Q2 2022 Commentary
QSV Equity Investors
Q2 2022 Commentary
More information including since-inception performance for each of the strategies may be found at www.qsvequityinvestors.com.
Stocks were sharply lower during the second quarter of 2022, as persistently high inflation and the response from the Federal Reserve sparked worries over the severity of a resulting economic slowdown and risks of a recession. Consumers, the growth engine of the economy, showed fatigue as both their spending and savings rates waned in reaction to rising food and energy costs. Inflation hurt investor confidence and the visibility into future corporate earnings. While not immune to the selloff, stocks of higher quality companies weathered the downturn better than those of lower quality companies. Using the Russell Stability indexes as proxies for high and low quality, the Russell Defensive indexes containing businesses with higher Returns on Assets, lower leverage, and lower volatility significantly outperformed low quality businesses, as measured by the Russell Dynamic indexes, across the market cap spectrum.
Each of the QSV strategies outperformed its respective Russell indexes and each added value through stock selection during the quarter. Of note is the QSV Quality Value Smallcap strategy reaching its fifth anniversary, outperforming both the Russell 2000 Value and 2000 Indexes with less risk and positive stock selection over the five-year period.
QSV Strategy Quarterly Performance
The QSV Quality Value Smallcap Strategy returned -7.88% and -7.96%, gross and net of fees, leading the Russell 2000 Value Index return of -15.28% and the Russell 2000 Index return of -17.20%. Security selection in Healthcare, Industrials and Information Technology helped performance, while an underweight and negative security selection in Energy and an absence of Utilities companies detracted. QSV generally finds few businesses with high returns on invested capital in the Energy and Utilities sectors and these exposures are typical for our portfolios.
Quality Value Smallcap Top Contributors
UFP Technologies, Inc. (UFPT) was the leading contributor to performance during the quarter, as shares rose 20%. UFPT designs and manufactures products and packaging for customers in seven target industries including medical, automotive, aerospace, consumer, and industrial markets, using foams, plastics, composites, and natural fiber materials. The company produces returns on capital of 9% supported by its “medical centric” revenue mix that has high barriers to entry and is recurring in nature.
MGP Ingredients, Inc. (MGPI) shares rose on a strong earnings report during the quarter. MGPI manufactures distilled spirits and specialty wheat protein and food ingredients, operating through its Distillery Products and Ingredient Solutions segments. The Distillery Products business is more than fifty years old and produces whiskey, rye, bourbon, and vodka for the premium beverage market. In addition to its premium brands, MGPI gained over 100 spirits brands and national distribution capabilities in 2021 through its acquisition of Luxco. The company produces returns on invested capital of 17%.
Quality Value Smallcap Top Detractors
Shares of CarGurus (CARG) fell during the quarter, along with other online auto retailers, due to price volatility and softer retail sales. CARG offers a leading marketplace for both individuals and dealerships to buy, market and sell vehicles in the U.S. as well as Canada and the U.K. Asset light CARG has the competitive advantage of a strong network effect with over thirty-nine million unique visitors each month and over 30,000 paying dealerships globally. The company produces returns on invested capital of 16% and shares trade significantly below QSV’s view of intrinsic value.
Shares of energy services company Core Laboratories (CLB) fell during Q2 following robust returns in the first quarter. CLB is the singular energy holding in the QSV strategy and has competitive advantages that include its intangible assets (patents, proprietary technology, and human capital) and network effects (multi-client reservoir studies). Business performance has been negatively impacted as both COVID and the war in Ukraine have slowed exploration and production initiatives. Despite the headwinds to business performance, CLB produces returns on invested capital of 10% and we expect improvement to performance supported by strong commodity prices and consumer demand.
Quality Value Smallcap Portfolio Activity
Based on our conviction in certain holdings in the Quality Value Smallcap portfolio and on the valuations of certain stocks, some trims and additions were made during the quarter. There were no outright sales or additions of holdings.
The QSV Quality Value Midcap Strategy returned -12.94% and -13.16%, gross and net of fees, for the quarter, leading both the Russell Mid Cap Value Index return of -14.68% and the Russell Mid Cap Index return of -16.85%. QSV’s security selection added value in the Industrial and Financials sectors, while an underweight and negative security selection in Energy and an absence of Utilities companies detracted. QSV generally finds few businesses with high returns on invested capital in the Energy and Utilities sectors and these exposures are typical for our portfolios.
Quality Value Midcap Top Contributors
W.R. Berkley Corporation (WRB) rose during the quarter adding to strong business and stock performance in the first quarter of 2022. WRB provides specialty coverages within the property and casualty insurance and reinsurance markets. Rate increase tailwinds and robust premium growth have supported strong business performance that is reflected in returns on average tangible equity of 18%. While we have conviction in WRB as a business, QSV exited its position during the quarter to capture gains and pursue companies with more compelling valuations.
Shares of Campbell Soup Company (CPB) aided performance during the quarter on strong business performance and an increase in guidance for 2022. Inflation and increasing input costs stand as a risk and management has acknowledged the headwinds that costs for steel cans and other inputs will create in the second half of 2022. Pricing actions in both the first and second half of the year and supply chain productivity gains are expected to offset much of these pressures. CPB produces returns on invested capital of 12% and shares currently trade at a discount to QSV’s estimate of intrinsic value.
Quality Value Midcap Top Detractors
Energy services company Core Laboratories (CLB) was the leading detractor from performance and is discussed above.
As with other bank financials during the quarter, Synovus Financial Corporation (SNV) shares fell sharply. QSV has conviction in SNV and likes the growth potential in its southeastern U.S. footprint. Mortgage loan growth may be depressed by higher interest rates and wealth management revenues will likely be reduced by the depressed market, but higher interest rates and operating efficiencies, that include a reduction in the branch network and greater digital delivery, should more than offset those challenges. SNV produces returns on average tangible equity of 18% and shares are discounted relative to QSV estimate of intrinsic value.
Quality Value Midcap Portfolio Activity
QSV exited CBOE Global Markets (CBOE), Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO), Steve Madden Ltd. (SHOO) and W.R. Berkley (WRB) during the quarter. QSV took advantage of the weakness in consumer stocks with new positions in on-line retailer Etsy Inc. (ETSY) and off-price retailer Ross Stores Inc. (ROST). New positions were also initiated in landscaping equipment provider The Toro Company (TTC) and specialty chemical company Celanese Corporation (CE).
The QSV Select Value Strategy returned -9.72% and -9.91%, gross and net of fees, leading the returns of -15.39% and -16.98% for the Russell 2500 Value and Russell 2500 Indexes, respectively. Select Value is a high conviction strategy that takes QSV’s “best ideas” from our Quality Value Smallcap and Quality Value Midcap strategies. Security selection delivered nearly all the outperformance during the quarter, with the greatest benefit in Industrials and Consumer Discretionary companies. As with QSV’s small and mid-cap portfolios, an underweight and negative security selection in Energy and an absence of Utilities companies detracted.
Select Value Top Contributors
Record high sales lifted the shares of automotive parts provider Dorman Products, Inc. (DORM) during the quarter. Products from DORM are offered through aftermarket retailers such as Advance Auto Parts, AutoZone, and O’Reilly Automotive and distributors such as NAPA. The aging of cars is a tailwind to growth for DORM and the company produces returns on invested capital of 13% while shares remain discounted relative to QSV’S view of intrinsic value.
WD-40 Company (WDFC) shares aided performance during the quarter. The company reported a quarterly upside earnings surprise, while cutting its fiscal year 2022 earnings outlook due to higher oil- based input costs. WDFC benefits from one of the strongest consumer brands with 95% recognition. Growth opportunities are seen in international markets which the company estimates could reach $1 billion. WDFC produces returns on invested capital of 25%.
Select Value Top Detractors
As in the Quality Value Midcap strategy, energy services company Core Laboratories (CLB) was the leading detractor from performance and is discussed above.
Tyler Technologies (TYL) detracted from performance during the quarter but remain a high conviction holding. TYL is the largest provider of enterprise software products focused solely on the public sector, with a focus on local governments where high switching costs stand as Tyler’s competitive advantage. The company has a 98% customer retention rate and incremental margins in its subscription business of over 70%. We believe TYL will benefit from increased government spending on infrastructure, the move of those clients to cloud-based solutions and a shift from the sale of licenses to a software as a service model with its customer base. The company produces returns on invested capital of 11%.
Select Value Portfolio Activity
Keeping with its approach to invest in the best ideas of QSV’s Quality Value Smallcap and Midcap strategies, QSV exited positions in Copart (CPRT), Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO), and Icon PLC (ICLR). QSV initiated positions in Medpace Holdings, Inc. (MEDP), a leading clinical contract research organization, insurance and investment products provider Primerica, Inc. (PRI), and The Toro Company (TTC) during the quarter.
Our Focus on the Long Term
At the risk of restating our comments from the prior quarters, inflation, the Fed’s tightening cycle, slowing economic growth and geopolitical concerns all persist as risks for the remainder of 2022. We add to those risks the possibility of a recession as the Federal Reserve seems committed to its war on inflation while armed with the blunt tool of raising rates. Earnings estimates remain high, but inflationary pressures from input costs and wage increases will present challenges, as may weaker spending by consumers and businesses.
Positives sometimes come in unattractive packaging: While economic contraction is painful, a slow or no growth economy could prompt the Fed to slow the increases in interest rates, offering a boost to stock multiples. The pain felt by investors in the first half of 2022 has cut the valuations of many quality businesses to more attractive levels, offering investors the opportunity to upgrade their holdings. These quality businesses generally have less debt, consistent revenue growth, greater free cash flows, and histories of profitability, all supported by durable competitive advantages. QSV seeks out these qualities in its portfolio companies and we are optimistic that we can deliver compelling long-term results for our clients and ourselves as we invest alongside them.
Disclaimer:
Returns are for the respective composites of QSV Equity Investors (BEM). Gross returns are calculated net of trading fees. Net returns are calculated net of trading fees and net of the firm’s management fee. All dividends are assumed to be reinvested. The returns of the BQV Midcap Strategy are compared to the historical performance of the Russell Midcap Indices as they are a widely used benchmarks for mid capitalization securities. The returns of the BQV Smallcap Strategy are compared to the historical performance of the Russell 2000 Indices as they are a widely used benchmarks for small capitalization securities. The returns of the QSV Select Value Strategy are compared to the historical performance of the Russell 2500 Indices as they are a widely used benchmarks for SMID capitalization securities. An investment with QSV Equity Investors should not be construed as an investment in a program that seeks to replicate, or correlate with, these indices. Market conditions vary between the BEM products and these indices. Furthermore, these indices do not include any transaction costs, management fees and other expenses, as do the BEM Products. Lastly, BEM may invest in securities and positions that are not included in these indices.
No client or potential client should assume that any information presented should be construed as personalized investment advice. Personalized investment advice can only be rendered after engagement of the firm for services, execution of the required documentation, and receipt of required disclosures. Investing carries risk of loss.
QSV Equity Investors, LLC claims compliance with the Global Investment Performance Standards (GIPS®). GIPS® is a registered trademark of the CFA Institute. CFA Institute does not endorse or promote this organization, nor does it warrant the accuracy or quality of the content contained herein. To view a GIPS report, please visit www.qsvequityinvestors.com.
QSV Equity Investors, LLC is a registered investment advisor. For additional information about the firm and its professionals please visit the SEC’s website at www.adviserinfo.sec.gov.
QSV Equity Investors Q1 2022 Commentary
QSV Equity Investors
Q1 2022 Commentary
More information including since-inception performance for each of the strategies may be found at www.qsvequityinvestors.com.
QSV concluded its commentary last quarter with a list of “known risks” that included a continuation of inflation, the Federal Reserve’s tightening cycle and trajectory, and the fact that attention paid by investors to geopolitical risks stood at a four-year low, while the ambitions of China, Iran and Russia continued to rise. These risks emerged in more profound ways than we expected, with war in Ukraine, a more hawkish Fed, and inflation spiking to 40-year highs. Markets reacted to these risk factors with heightened volatility and negative returns across equity market caps. Performance by energy stocks greatly outstripped all other sectors as worries over global supply – already escalated prior to the war in Ukraine – rose further.
QSV Strategy Quarterly Performance
The QSV Quality Value Smallcap Strategy returned -6.50% and -6.58%, gross and net of fees, lagging the Russell 2000 Value Index return of -2.40% while leading the Russell 2000 Index return of -7.53%. QSV has historically been significantly underweight in Energy holdings, as these businesses generally do not have the high returns on invested capital or consistency of business performance we seek. This created meaningful headwinds to performance, as did robust performance by certain index constituents in the Defense and Shipping industries. Healthcare and Communication Services holdings helped performance, while holdings in the Energy and Industrials sectors detracted.
Quality Value Smallcap Top Contributors
Energy services company Core Laboratories (CLB) rose over 40% as investor sentiment turned favorable toward the company’s prospects in its reservoir description and production enhancement services divisions. CLB is the singular energy holding in the QSV strategy and has competitive advantages that include its intangible assets (patents, proprietary technology, and human capital) and network effects (multi-client reservoir studies). Prior to the start of the conflict in Ukraine, CLB announced that it expects double digit gains in 2022 for both its business segments; these gains could improve further as exploration and production increases.
Shares of on-line automotive sales platform CarGurus, Inc. (CARG) also rose during the quarter. CARG offers a leading marketplace for both individuals and dealerships to buy, market and sell vehicles in the U.S. as well as Canada and the U.K. CARG has a strong network effect competitive advantage with over thirty-nine million unique visitors each month and over 30,000 paying dealerships globally. Positive stock performance was supported by quarterly revenues that exceeded Street expectations by over 20% and by the company’s investment in dealer-matching service CarOffer.
Quality Value Smallcap Top Detractors
Shares of 1-800 Flowers.com (FLWS) fell 45% during the quarter. Challenges to the company’s margins included higher freight, shipping, and labor rates all hitting during its important holiday season. FLWS is working to offset these challenges by adding more automation into its manufacturing and distribution facilities, raising prices where possible, and building additional inventories. FLWS continues to have strong and growing free cash flows and delivers average returns on invested capital of 12%. FLWS has a proven record of making accretive acquisitions, something we expect will continue to boost business performance.
Shares of Watts Water Technologies, Inc. (WTS) fell during the quarter, along with the other housing related companies, despite strong earnings that exceeded expectations. WTS is a global provider of Smart and Connected water conservation, safety, and flow control products. Share price performance was impacted by conservative guidance for the coming year; WTS has tough comparisons to beat for the first two quarters of 2022 and is making growth investments in its business. The company does have pricing power and we expect price increases and the shift to energy efficient products to aid performance in the second half of 2022.
Quality Value Smallcap Portfolio Activity
QSV exited its position in Eagle Pharmaceuticals (EGRX). Prior to the invasion of Ukraine, a new position was initiated in Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. (AJRD), a manufacturer of aerospace and defense products and systems. Also initiated was a position in Medpace Holdings Inc. (MEDP), a leading clinical contract research focused primarily on full-service project work for small- and mid-sized biopharmaceutical clients. AJRD and MEDP each produce high returns on invested capital, 18% and 16% respectively, and each sells at a meaningful discount to QSV estimate of intrinsic value.
The QSV Quality Value Midcap Strategy returned -7.06% and -7.29%, gross and net of fees, for the quarter, lagging the Russell Mid Cap Value Index return of -1.82% and the Russell Mid Cap Index return of -5.68%. QSV security selection added value in the Industrial and Financials sectors, while selection in Healthcare and a meaningful underweight to Energy holdings detracted from strategy performance. QSV has historically been significantly underweight in Energy holdings, as these businesses generally do not have the high returns on invested capital or consistency of business performance we seek.
Quality Value Midcap Top Contributors
Energy services company Core Laboratories (CLB) was the leading contributor to performance and is discussed above.
W.R. Berkley Corporation (WRB) rose over 20% during the quarter as earnings exceeded expectations. WRB provides specialty coverages within the property and casualty insurance and reinsurance markets. The company expects strong business performance to continue, as rate increases in excess of claims trends are anticipated to continue. WRB continues to sell at a significant discount to QSV’s estimate of intrinsic value.
Quality Value Midcap Top Detractors
Masimo Corporation (MASI) shares fell in mid-quarter on the news of its planned acquisition of consumer technology company Sound United. MASI is a medical technology company which develops, manufactures, and markets non-invasive vital sign monitoring devices. While the thesis behind the acquisition is confusing on the surface, it makes strategic sense as MASI is eager to build infrastructure and relationships for marketing its future consumer-focused products, such as the Masimo W1 smartwatch. MASI produces returns on invested capital of 18% and remains a key portfolio holding. QSV will closely monitor the integration of Sound United along with the overall business performance of the company.
Icon PLC (ICLR) shares fell over concerns that business would slow, post COVID, and that it could stumble in its integration of newly acquired PRA Health. ICLR – and PRAH – are clinical research organizations (CROs) providing outsourced development services to the pharmaceutical, biotechnology, and medical device industries. ICLR has a history of being conservative as it communicates its outlook and previously communicated its expectations for 2022. The cultures of ICLR and PRA Health are similar, and the combined organization will bring synergies and benefit from reduced client concentrations.
Quality Value Midcap Portfolio Activity
QSV exited Amdocs Limited (DOX), Maximus Inc. (MMS), and Qualys Inc. (QLYS) during the quarter. New positions were initiated in EPAM Systems Inc. (EPAM), a provider of software and digital platform engineering services, global freight forwarding company Expeditors International of Washington (EXPD), and Helen of Troy Ltd. (HELE), a consumer products company with brands including Braun, Hydro Flask and Revlon.
The QSV Select Value Strategy returned -8.76% and -8.96%, gross and net of fees, trailing the returns of -1.50% and -5.82% for the Russell 2500 Value and Russell 2500 Indexes, respectively. Select Value is a high conviction strategy that takes QSV’s “best ideas” from its Quality Value Smallcap and Quality Value Midcap strategies. Security selection more than offset the negative impact of an overweight in Technology companies during the quarter. QSV’s overweight and its security selection detracted from performance in Healthcare and its meaningful underweight to Energy also detracted.
Select Value Top Contributors
Energy services company Core Laboratories (CLB) was the leading contributor to performance and is discussed above.
Financial technology company Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. (JKHY) was the second greatest contributor to performance during the quarter. JKHY provides automation software, payment processing, and outsourcing solutions to community banks and credit unions and has moved up market into larger banking organizations over the past ten years. The company produces returns on invested capital of 20%, supported by high switching costs and a scalable business model.
Select Value Top Detractors
As in the Quality Value Midcap strategy, holdings Masimo Corporation (MASI) and Icon PLC (ICLR) were the greatest detractors. Comments on each are noted above.
Select Value Portfolio Activity
Adhering to QSV’s emphasis on owning its best small and mid-cap ideas within the Select Value portfolio, QSV exited Amdocs Limited (DOX), Maximus Inc. (MMS), and Qualys Inc. (QLYS) during the quarter. New positions were entered in Clorox (CLX), an existing holding in the QSV Quality Value Midcap strategy, and Helen of Troy Ltd. (HELE).
Our Focus on the Long Term
With today’s “perfect storm” of risk factors, the near-term outlook is more cloudy than usual. Inflation, the Fed’s tightening cycle, and geopolitical concerns all weigh on the markets and seem likely to persist during 2022. What seems certain is that economic growth will be slower, leading to slowing corporate earnings growth. The earnings cycle and earnings growth, company by company, will be in focus, favoring stable and profitable quality businesses such as those emphasized in the QSV strategies.
QSV advises clients that investing in high quality businesses is a winning strategy over time, but we know there will be periods of underperformance. The first quarter of 2022 was painfully such a time, as energy and companies tied to commodity prices drove returns, while stable companies with high returns on invested capital lagged significantly. Investors who can accept these near-term “disconnects” with benchmarks and have the patience to commit to long term ownership are rewarded over time with higher returns and less volatility. We continue to stay true to our investment process and seek out quality businesses that can be “price makers” in these challenging times.
Disclaimer:
Returns are for the respective composites of QSV Equity Investors (BEM). Gross returns are calculated net of trading fees. Net returns are calculated net of trading fees and net of the firm’s management fee. All dividends are assumed to be reinvested. The returns of the BQV Midcap Strategy are compared to the historical performance of the Russell Midcap Indices as they are a widely used benchmarks for mid capitalization securities. The returns of the BQV Smallcap Strategy are compared to the historical performance of the Russell 2000 Indices as they are a widely used benchmarks for small capitalization securities. The returns of the QSV Select Value Strategy are compared to the historical performance of the Russell 2500 Indices as they are a widely used benchmarks for SMID capitalization securities. An investment with QSV Equity Investors should not be construed as an investment in a program that seeks to replicate, or correlate with, these indices. Market conditions vary between the BEM products and these indices. Furthermore, these indices do not include any transaction costs, management fees and other expenses, as do the BEM Products. Lastly, BEM may invest in securities and positions that are not included in these indices.
No client or potential client should assume that any information presented should be construed as personalized investment advice. Personalized investment advice can only be rendered after engagement of the firm for services, execution of the required documentation, and receipt of required disclosures. Investing carries risk of loss.
QSV Equity Investors, LLC claims compliance with the Global Investment Performance Standards (GIPS®). GIPS® is a registered trademark of the CFA Institute. CFA Institute does not endorse or promote this organization, nor does it warrant the accuracy or quality of the content contained herein. To receive a GIPS report, please contact QSV at (844) 3-BALLAST.
CSV Equity Investors, LLC is a registered investment advisor. For additional information about the firm and its professionals please visit the SEC’s website at www.adviserinfo.sec.gov.
Q2 2024 Commentary
Q2 2024 Commentary
No one needs another investment commentary noting the divergence of Nvidia and the “Magnificent 7” stocks’ performance with that of the broader market, but it is hard to live through a quarter like Q2 2024 without that on our minds. This compact group of companies has contributed more than 60% of the returns of the index in 2024 and, when the returns of the capitalization weighted S&P 500 are compared to an equally weighted S&P 500, there is a 10% difference in favor of the cap weighted benchmark. While this dynamic plays out, investors have paid little attention to the pond QSV fishes in, small and mid-cap equities, where the returns were quite different, and negative during the quarter. Each sector of the Russell 2000 Value index delivered losses in Q2, with Utilities (supported by the prospects for data centers for the AI revolution?) only slightly in negative territory and Healthcare, where QSV finds an ample supply of quality businesses, suffering losses of more than 10%. Returns for mid-cap indexes were in similar,
negative, territory.
More information including since-inception performance for each QSV strategy may be found at www.qsvequity.com.
QSV Strategy Quarterly Performance
QSV Small Cap returned -3.76% and -3.84%, gross and net of fees, respectively, lagging the Russell 2000 Value Index return of -3.64% and the Russell 2000 Index return of -3.28%. Security selection in Healthcare helped performance, while an overweight in the sector detracted. Selection in Real Estate also aided performance. Selection in Industrials and Financials businesses detracted from returns.
QSV Small Cap Top Contributors
Napco Security Technologies Inc. (NSSC) shares rose nearly 30% supported by strong growth in revenues and gross margins in its business units. NSSC is a global provider and manufacturer of high-tech security products, including access control systems, door-locking products, intrusion and fire alarm systems and video surveillance products. The company is focused on doubling revenue within its recurring, high-margin Services business in the next 2-3 years and currently produces returns on invested capital of 17% while selling at a discount to our measure of intrinsic value.
Hawkins Inc. (HWKN), rose more than 18%, contributing to performance. HWKN is a leading provider of chemicals and ingredients sold through its industrial, water treatment and health and nutrition segments. The company has benefitted from fast growth in its high margin water treatment business which is expected to drive higher earnings and free cash flow growth as it represents a larger portion of the firm’s overall revenues. HWKN produces returns on invested capital of 13%.
QSV Small Cap Top Detractors
Shares of clinical research organization Fortrea Holdings (FTRE) dropped more than 40% during the quarter as the company fell short of analysts’ estimates of revenues and earnings and the company lowered its outlook. The company, spun out of LabCorp (LH) in 2023, benefits from offering tools and testing to the biotechnology and pharmaceutical industries that are highly scripted in law, regulation, and practice. QSV believes that it is not uncommon for a company to struggle initially post-spinoff and has confidence in the long-term outlook for FTRE. As a result, we added to our position on weakness in the share price.
Alamo Group (ALG) shares declined during the quarter as a five-week strike in one of its plants is expected to impact the quarter’s financial results. The manufacturer of agricultural and vegetation maintenance equipment settled the strike with a five-year contract that should remove the risk of labor disruption for some time. ALG operates as forty global brands in two key divisions: industrial equipment and vegetation management equipment. The company benefits from an extensive dealer network and leading market share. Sixty percent of its revenues come from state and municipal government contracts.
QSV Small Cap Portfolio Activity
Shares of Forward Air (FWRD) were sold after the company added debt for its Omni Logistics acquisition and, in our view, could not clearly define the mission for the combined business. PubMatic (PUBM) and Shutterstock (SSTK) were each sold for valuation reasons. Scotts Miracle-Gro (SMG) was sold as they continued to struggle with the exposure to the cannabis industry and the addition of debt, reducing our estimate of the company’s intrinsic value. Proceeds were invested in existing holdings as well as new holding Catalyst Pharmaceuticals(CPRX), a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing therapies for people with rare, debilitating neuromuscular and neurological diseases.
QSV Mid Cap returned -5.15% and -5.38%, gross and net of fees for the quarter, trailing the -3.40% return of the Russell Mid Cap Value Index and the Russell Mid Cap Index return of -3.35%. Security selection in Consumer Staples companies helped performance, as did company selection and an overweight to Information Technology companies. Selection in Financials detracted as did selection and an overweight to Healthcare.
QSV Mid Cap Top Contributors
Monolithic Power SystemsInc. (MPWR) was the leading contributor to performance in the quarter as the company delivered strong earnings growth and benefitted from the outlook for AI-related tailwinds. MPWR is a global provider of high-performance, semiconductor-based power solutions. As a “fabless” company – one that does not manufacture the chips used in its products – MPWR has profited from devoting more resources to chip design rather than capital expenditures, resulting in greater free cash flows, higher margins, and returns on invested capital of 22%.
Teradyne Inc. (TER), a provider of semiconductor chip testing equipment, also contributed to performance during the quarter as it beat earnings estimates and affirmed guidance. AI-related opportunities are contributing to current growth and an enhanced outlook while the company’s exposure to mobility produces headwinds due to lower demand. TER produces returns on invested capital of 26% and sells below our estimate of intrinsic value.
QSV Mid Cap Top Detractors
Fortrea Holdings (FTRE) was the leading detractor to performance during the quarter and is discussed above.
Lincoln Electric Holdings (LECO) detracted from performance during the quarter as the company saw softness in its quarterly revenues and lowered its full year earnings guidance. We see these as short-term issues for LECO, a trusted name in welding, cutting, and brazing products, with a leading global market share. While still in the commercialization phase, LECO is developing an EV charger business that represents an additional growth opportunity for the business. The company has raised its dividend for twenty-two years and produces returns on invested capital of 21%.
QSV Mid Cap Portfolio Activity
There were no total sales or purchases of positions during the quarter. QSV did add to its position in the clinical research organization Fortrea Holdings (FTRE) on weakness in its share price and made other trims and additions based upon valuation and our convictions in the fundamentals of the businesses.
QSV Select returned -4.40% and -4.62%, gross and net of fees, lagging the returns of the Russell 2500 Value and Russell 2500 Indexes of -4.31% and -4.27%, respectively. Select is a high conviction strategy that holds QSV’s best ideas from our Small Cap and Mid Cap strategies. Security selection was positive in Industrials. Selection and an overweight in Information Technology and Consumer Discretionary holdings also aided performance. Selection detracted from returns in Financials and Healthcare holdings.
QSV Select Top Contributors
Napco Security Technologies Inc. (NSSC) was the leading contributor to performance during the quarter and is discussed above.
Tyler Technologies Inc. (TYL) rose as its transition to Software as a Service, subscription revenues and earnings increased. TYL is the largest provider of enterprise software products focused solely on the public sector, with a focus on local governments where high switching costs stand as Tyler’s competitive advantage. The company has a 98% customer retention rate and incremental margins in its subscription business of over 70%. We continue to believe that TYL will benefit from increased government spending on infrastructure.
QSV Select Top Detractors
Fortrea Holdings (FTRE) was the leading detractor to performance of QSV Select during the quarter and is discussed above.
Vestis Corporation (VSTS) detracted from performance during the quarter. Formerly a division of Aramark, VSTS provides uniform services and workplace supplies to North American Customers ranging from small businesses to Fortune 500 companies. Business performance has been impacted by client retention dropping because of off-cycle price increases and sub-par results from the company’s sales team. We believe the company’s focus on improved service and sales productivity will get this performance back on track.
QSV Select Portfolio Activity
Limited trading was done in QSV Select during the quarter, with trims and additions made to address valuations and quality upgrades.
Our Focus on the Long Term
We believe that mid-year reflection is appropriate for investors including a close look at asset allocation. With the concentration of returns to-date in large cap equities, and specifically in a handful of companies, many portfolios are tilted in favor of those holdings. Unintended bets may exist where investors in both passive and active funds have stakes in the Magnificent 7 companies that have increased in size. Markets could be “different this time” but if the outperformance of the S&P 500 over the smaller companies in the Russell 2000 persists throughout 2024 it will cap a four consecutive year period of such outperformance, something that has not occurred since 1995-1998. Small and mid-cap value equities excelled in the years that followed that, while investors in large cap stocks endured the “lost decade” of returns. Compelling valuations currently exist in small and mid-cap businesses. Coupled with the possibility of lower inflation, lower interest rates, and potential tailwinds from deglobalization, we see a convincing case for allocating to quality small and mid-cap companies.
Disclaimer:
Returns are for the respective composites of QSV Equity Investors. Gross returns are calculated net of trading fees. Net returns are calculated net of trading fees and net of the firm’s management fee. All dividends are assumed to be reinvested. The returns of the QSV Small Cap strategy are compared to the historical performance of the Russell 2000 Indices as they are widely used benchmarks for small capitalization securities. The returns of the QSV Mid Cap strategy are compared to the historical performance of the Russell Midcap Indices as they are widely used benchmarks for mid capitalization securities. The returns of the QSV Select strategy are compared to the historical performance of the Russell 2500 Indices as they are widely used benchmarks for SMID capitalization securities. An investment with QSV Equity Investors should not be construed as an investment in a program that seeks to replicate, or correlate with, these indices. Market conditions vary between the QSV products and these indices. Furthermore, these indices do not include any transaction costs, management fees and other expenses, as do QSV products. Lastly, QSV may invest in securities and positions that are not included in these indices.
No client or potential client should assume that any information presented should be construed as personalized investment advice. Personalized investment advice can only be rendered after engagement of the firm for services, execution of the required documentation, and receipt of required disclosures. Investing carries risk of loss.
QSV Equity Investors, LLC claims compliance with the Global Investment Performance Standards (GIPS®). GIPS® is a registered trademark of the CFA Institute. CFA Institute does not endorse or promote this organization, nor does it warrant the accuracy or quality of the content contained herein. To view a GIPS report, please visit www.qsvequity.com.
QSV Equity Investors, LLC is a registered investment advisor. For additional information about the firm and its professionals please visit the SEC’s website at www.adviserinfo.sec.gov.